China population pyramid 2050
1,260,289,093 people in 2050 (UN medium projection). This page shows China’s age and sex structure in 2050 and how it differs from 2026.
- 2050 population
- 1.26BUN medium projection
- Median age
- 52.1 years2026: 40.6
- Under age 15
- 9.9%2026: 14.8%
- Age 65+
- 30.9%2026: 15.1%
China population pyramid
2050 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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Use the publication-ready SVG, create a high-resolution PNG, or download the complete age-by-sex dataset.
Values for 2050 come from the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario. They depend on assumptions about fertility, mortality, and migration and are not forecasts guaranteed to occur.
What to notice in 2050
The pyramid inverts: the widest band is 60–64, while each band under 25 holds under 2% per sex. Read the full analysis of China’s pyramid.
China age structure in 2050
In 2050, children under 15 are projected to make up 9.9% of the population, people aged 15–64 59.1%, and people aged 65 or older 30.9%. On these shares the structure is classed as older; see the guide to constrictive population pyramids.
The total age dependency ratio is projected to be 69.1 (16.8 children and 52.3 people aged 65+ per 100 aged 15–64). The largest five-year groups are 60–64, 55–59, 65–69, which together account for 24.0% of the population.
Fertility is projected to be 1.18 births per woman and life expectancy at birth 83.4 years. The population is projected to change by −0.82% during the year.
China in 2050 compared with 2026
Between 2026 and 2050, the medium scenario has China’s population falling by 11% and the median age rising by 11.5 years. The table sets the two years side by side; percentage-point differences compare shares, not counts.
| Indicator | 2026 | 2050 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 1,412,914,089 | 1,260,289,093 | −10.8% |
| Median age (years) | 40.6 | 52.1 | +11.5 |
| Under 15 | 14.8% | 9.9% | −4.9 pts |
| Aged 15–64 | 70.1% | 59.1% | −11.0 pts |
| Aged 65+ | 15.1% | 30.9% | +15.8 pts |
| Fertility rate | 1.03 | 1.18 | +0.15 |
| Life expectancy (years) | 79.0 | 83.4 | +4.4 |
| Males per 100 females | 103.6 | 102.2 | −1.4 |
China population by age and sex in 2050
Counts by five-year age group, with everyone aged 100 or older combined. Download the CSV for every chart year.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 20,582,914 | 19,379,528 | 39,962,442 | 3.2% |
| 5–9 | 22,168,251 | 20,840,371 | 43,008,622 | 3.4% |
| 10–14 | 21,857,089 | 20,492,676 | 42,349,765 | 3.4% |
| 15–19 | 21,251,827 | 19,804,263 | 41,056,090 | 3.3% |
| 20–24 | 21,315,635 | 19,522,436 | 40,838,071 | 3.2% |
| 25–29 | 24,045,679 | 21,623,096 | 45,668,775 | 3.6% |
| 30–34 | 41,757,181 | 36,643,899 | 78,401,080 | 6.2% |
| 35–39 | 47,457,181 | 40,912,096 | 88,369,277 | 7.0% |
| 40–44 | 44,633,383 | 38,141,647 | 82,775,030 | 6.6% |
| 45–49 | 41,725,938 | 35,891,461 | 77,617,399 | 6.2% |
| 50–54 | 43,219,668 | 37,980,580 | 81,200,248 | 6.4% |
| 55–59 | 49,691,348 | 45,343,506 | 95,034,854 | 7.5% |
| 60–64 | 58,411,133 | 55,918,906 | 114,330,039 | 9.1% |
| 65–69 | 46,103,908 | 46,536,458 | 92,640,366 | 7.4% |
| 70–74 | 37,821,349 | 40,307,226 | 78,128,575 | 6.2% |
| 75–79 | 40,441,408 | 46,401,808 | 86,843,216 | 6.9% |
| 80–84 | 31,824,746 | 40,377,803 | 72,202,549 | 5.7% |
| 85–89 | 16,537,541 | 24,171,448 | 40,708,989 | 3.2% |
| 90–94 | 5,003,585 | 9,569,733 | 14,573,318 | 1.2% |
| 95–99 | 1,081,873 | 3,112,890 | 4,194,763 | 0.3% |
| 100+ | 55,075 | 330,553 | 385,628 | 0.0% |
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, September 28). China Population Pyramid 2050. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/china/2050/
MLA
“China Population Pyramid 2050.” World Population Pyramid, 28 Sept. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/china/2050/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “China Population Pyramid 2050.” Last modified September 28, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/china/2050/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the projected population of China in 2050?
UN World Population Prospects 2024 projects China's population in 2050 at 1,260,289,093 under the medium scenario.
What will be the median age in China in 2050?
The median age is projected to be 52.1 years, compared with 40.6 years in 2026.
What share of China is projected to be under 15 or 65+ in 2050?
9.9% are projected to be under 15 and 30.9% aged 65 or older, giving a total age dependency ratio of 69.1.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are 1 July figures converted from thousands to people.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.