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Indonesia vs Philippines: population pyramids compared

Indonesia is about 2.4 times as large as Philippines, but size is only part of the story. Compare the two age structures on one percentage scale for 2026 and 2050, with every indicator side by side.

Estimate or projection?

UN estimates run through 2023; figures from 2024 onward are medium-scenario projections.

Indonesia and Philippines in 2026

Indonesia population pyramid

2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex

Medium projection
Indonesia population pyramid for 2026: males on the left and females on the right Male share Female share 100+ males: 422 (0.0%) 100+ females: 1,504 (0.0%) 100+ 95–99 males: 7,896 (0.0%) 95–99 females: 22,852 (0.0%) 95–99 90–94 males: 66,582 (0.0%) 90–94 females: 159,528 (0.1%) 90–94 85–89 males: 291,933 (0.1%) 85–89 females: 581,524 (0.2%) 85–89 80–84 males: 752,606 (0.3%) 80–84 females: 1,296,305 (0.5%) 80–84 75–79 males: 1,475,039 (0.5%) 75–79 females: 2,123,606 (0.7%) 75–79 70–74 males: 2,758,248 (1.0%) 70–74 females: 3,462,570 (1.2%) 70–74 65–69 males: 4,419,393 (1.5%) 65–69 females: 5,062,071 (1.8%) 65–69 60–64 males: 6,129,533 (2.1%) 60–64 females: 6,587,439 (2.3%) 60–64 55–59 males: 7,683,133 (2.7%) 55–59 females: 7,923,920 (2.8%) 55–59 50–54 males: 8,854,610 (3.1%) 50–54 females: 8,887,185 (3.1%) 50–54 45–49 males: 9,921,448 (3.4%) 45–49 females: 9,746,159 (3.4%) 45–49 40–44 males: 10,586,832 (3.7%) 40–44 females: 10,224,680 (3.6%) 40–44 35–39 males: 10,603,474 (3.7%) 35–39 females: 10,149,519 (3.5%) 35–39 30–34 males: 10,949,648 (3.8%) 30–34 females: 10,454,361 (3.6%) 30–34 25–29 males: 11,246,474 (3.9%) 25–29 females: 10,728,551 (3.7%) 25–29 20–24 males: 11,395,524 (4.0%) 20–24 females: 10,838,043 (3.8%) 20–24 15–19 males: 12,196,607 (4.2%) 15–19 females: 11,588,574 (4.0%) 15–19 10–14 males: 12,385,549 (4.3%) 10–14 females: 11,757,780 (4.1%) 10–14 5–9 males: 11,594,135 (4.0%) 5–9 females: 10,993,153 (3.8%) 5–9 0–4 males: 11,291,158 (3.9%) 0–4 females: 10,687,215 (3.7%) 0–4 10%5% Age 5%10%

Philippines population pyramid

2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex

Medium projection
Philippines population pyramid for 2026: males on the left and females on the right Male share Female share 100+ males: 56 (0.0%) 100+ females: 316 (0.0%) 100+ 95–99 males: 1,279 (0.0%) 95–99 females: 4,728 (0.0%) 95–99 90–94 males: 10,818 (0.0%) 90–94 females: 35,023 (0.0%) 90–94 85–89 males: 48,586 (0.0%) 85–89 females: 135,195 (0.1%) 85–89 80–84 males: 149,154 (0.1%) 80–84 females: 326,158 (0.3%) 80–84 75–79 males: 448,297 (0.4%) 75–79 females: 708,244 (0.6%) 75–79 70–74 males: 879,048 (0.7%) 70–74 females: 1,176,566 (1.0%) 70–74 65–69 males: 1,399,732 (1.2%) 65–69 females: 1,685,224 (1.4%) 65–69 60–64 males: 1,892,932 (1.6%) 60–64 females: 2,107,050 (1.8%) 60–64 55–59 males: 2,361,597 (2.0%) 55–59 females: 2,498,965 (2.1%) 55–59 50–54 males: 2,748,256 (2.3%) 50–54 females: 2,798,229 (2.4%) 50–54 45–49 males: 3,296,432 (2.8%) 45–49 females: 3,300,843 (2.8%) 45–49 40–44 males: 3,756,470 (3.2%) 40–44 females: 3,708,563 (3.2%) 40–44 35–39 males: 4,386,319 (3.7%) 35–39 females: 4,280,893 (3.6%) 35–39 30–34 males: 4,890,527 (4.2%) 30–34 females: 4,826,176 (4.1%) 30–34 25–29 males: 5,256,720 (4.5%) 25–29 females: 5,201,717 (4.4%) 25–29 20–24 males: 5,423,932 (4.6%) 20–24 females: 5,336,662 (4.5%) 20–24 15–19 males: 5,856,752 (5.0%) 15–19 females: 5,693,806 (4.8%) 15–19 10–14 males: 5,901,748 (5.0%) 10–14 females: 5,715,793 (4.9%) 10–14 5–9 males: 5,376,148 (4.6%) 5–9 females: 5,161,052 (4.4%) 5–9 0–4 males: 4,629,341 (3.9%) 0–4 females: 4,309,131 (3.7%) 0–4 10%5% Age 5%10%

Key differences between Indonesia and Philippines

Age. Indonesia is the older population, with a median age of 30.7 years against 26.6 in Philippines — a gap of 4.1 years. Philippines has the larger share of children (26.4% under 15 versus 23.9%), while Indonesia has the larger share aged 65 and over (7.8% versus 6.0%).

Births and survival. Indonesia’s fertility rate of 2.08 is close to the replacement level, and Philippines’s 1.86 is below it. Life expectancy at birth is 71.6 years in Indonesia and 70.2 in Philippines.

Dependency. The total age dependency ratio is 46.4 in Indonesia (34.9 children and 11.4 older people per 100 aged 15–64) and 47.9 in Philippines (39.1 and 8.8). Similar totals can hide very different mixes of young and old.

Outlook. Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario has Indonesia’s population grows by 11% and Philippines’s grows by 14%. These are scenario results, not forecasts; how projections work explains the assumptions.

Indonesia vs Philippines: indicators side by side

IndicatorIndonesiaPhilippines
Population, 2026287,886,782117,724,472
Median age30.7 years26.6 years
Under age 1523.9%26.4%
Aged 15–6468.3%67.6%
Aged 65+7.8%6.0%
Age dependency ratio46.447.9
Fertility rate2.081.86
Life expectancy at birth71.6 years70.2 years
Annual growth+0.7%+0.8%
Males per 100 females100.999.5
Population, 2050320,712,949134,373,439
Change, 2026–2050+11.4%+14.1%
Population, 2100295,511,061114,221,909
Peak year20582057
Global population rank#4#14

2026, 2050, and 2100 values are UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium-scenario projections.

How the two pyramids could look in 2050

The same scale is kept for the projected charts, so a narrowing base or widening top can be compared directly with the 2026 shapes above.

Indonesia population pyramid

2050 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex

Medium projection
Indonesia population pyramid for 2050: males on the left and females on the right Male share Female share 100+ males: 2,061 (0.0%) 100+ females: 8,723 (0.0%) 100+ 95–99 males: 30,215 (0.0%) 95–99 females: 91,907 (0.0%) 95–99 90–94 males: 224,353 (0.1%) 90–94 females: 523,044 (0.2%) 90–94 85–89 males: 903,034 (0.3%) 85–89 females: 1,665,508 (0.5%) 85–89 80–84 males: 2,284,053 (0.7%) 80–84 females: 3,505,043 (1.1%) 80–84 75–79 males: 4,116,542 (1.3%) 75–79 females: 5,461,948 (1.7%) 75–79 70–74 males: 6,101,166 (1.9%) 70–74 females: 7,212,749 (2.2%) 70–74 65–69 males: 7,882,819 (2.5%) 65–69 females: 8,543,737 (2.7%) 65–69 60–64 males: 8,806,525 (2.7%) 60–64 females: 9,006,046 (2.8%) 60–64 55–59 males: 9,699,219 (3.0%) 55–59 females: 9,595,337 (3.0%) 55–59 50–54 males: 10,514,863 (3.3%) 50–54 females: 10,232,093 (3.2%) 50–54 45–49 males: 10,747,668 (3.4%) 45–49 females: 10,343,815 (3.2%) 45–49 40–44 males: 11,532,952 (3.6%) 40–44 females: 11,060,738 (3.4%) 40–44 35–39 males: 12,005,642 (3.7%) 35–39 females: 11,481,494 (3.6%) 35–39 30–34 males: 11,303,273 (3.5%) 30–34 females: 10,779,646 (3.4%) 30–34 25–29 males: 10,950,441 (3.4%) 25–29 females: 10,409,900 (3.2%) 25–29 20–24 males: 10,796,024 (3.4%) 20–24 females: 10,246,353 (3.2%) 20–24 15–19 males: 10,849,613 (3.4%) 15–19 females: 10,278,448 (3.2%) 15–19 10–14 males: 10,815,915 (3.4%) 10–14 females: 10,238,473 (3.2%) 10–14 5–9 males: 10,581,139 (3.3%) 5–9 females: 10,013,334 (3.1%) 5–9 0–4 males: 10,210,602 (3.2%) 0–4 females: 9,656,494 (3.0%) 0–4 10%5% Age 5%10%

Philippines population pyramid

2050 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex

Medium projection
Philippines population pyramid for 2050: males on the left and females on the right Male share Female share 100+ males: 437 (0.0%) 100+ females: 1,883 (0.0%) 100+ 95–99 males: 7,344 (0.0%) 95–99 females: 23,558 (0.0%) 95–99 90–94 males: 56,469 (0.0%) 90–94 females: 143,804 (0.1%) 90–94 85–89 males: 229,900 (0.2%) 85–89 females: 470,802 (0.4%) 85–89 80–84 males: 596,578 (0.4%) 80–84 females: 1,018,323 (0.8%) 80–84 75–79 males: 1,126,832 (0.8%) 75–79 females: 1,636,255 (1.2%) 75–79 70–74 males: 1,812,802 (1.3%) 70–74 females: 2,334,411 (1.7%) 70–74 65–69 males: 2,542,698 (1.9%) 65–69 females: 2,985,376 (2.2%) 65–69 60–64 males: 3,330,369 (2.5%) 60–64 females: 3,634,834 (2.7%) 60–64 55–59 males: 4,082,619 (3.0%) 55–59 females: 4,328,949 (3.2%) 55–59 50–54 males: 4,612,405 (3.4%) 50–54 females: 4,802,545 (3.6%) 50–54 45–49 males: 4,907,445 (3.7%) 45–49 females: 5,018,587 (3.7%) 45–49 40–44 males: 5,320,900 (4.0%) 40–44 females: 5,310,860 (4.0%) 40–44 35–39 males: 5,539,800 (4.1%) 35–39 females: 5,456,708 (4.1%) 35–39 30–34 males: 5,286,011 (3.9%) 30–34 females: 5,169,596 (3.8%) 30–34 25–29 males: 4,352,646 (3.2%) 25–29 females: 4,064,675 (3.0%) 25–29 20–24 males: 4,506,806 (3.4%) 20–24 females: 4,208,741 (3.1%) 20–24 15–19 males: 4,695,096 (3.5%) 15–19 females: 4,389,015 (3.3%) 15–19 10–14 males: 4,732,190 (3.5%) 10–14 females: 4,424,572 (3.3%) 10–14 5–9 males: 4,578,294 (3.4%) 5–9 females: 4,281,315 (3.2%) 5–9 0–4 males: 4,317,008 (3.2%) 0–4 females: 4,033,981 (3.0%) 0–4 10%5% Age 5%10%

What shapes Indonesia’s pyramid

Indonesia’s pyramid has nearly vertical sides from birth to age 44, the result of birth numbers that stopped rising after fertility fell in the 1970s–90s. Read the full Indonesia analysis.

What shapes Philippines’s pyramid

The Philippine pyramid has a sharply undercut base: children under 5 are far fewer than those aged 10–14, after an unusually rapid recent fall in births. Read the full Philippines analysis.

Explore each country in depth

Questions about Indonesia and Philippines

Which population is older, Indonesia or Philippines?

Indonesia is older: its projected 2026 median age is 30.7 years, compared with 26.6 in Philippines.

Which has a higher fertility rate, Indonesia or Philippines?

Indonesia has the higher total fertility rate in 2026: 2.08 births per woman, against 1.86 in Philippines.

Will Indonesia or Philippines have more people in 2050?

Under the UN medium scenario, Indonesia is projected to be larger in 2050, with 320.7M people against 134.4M.