Largest population
Nigeria has 242,431,832 people in the 2026 medium projection.
476,911,144 people in 2026 (projected), a UN subregion of Africa with 17 countries and areas.
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
Hover over or tap a bar to see exact values.
The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
In 2026, children under 15 make up 40.1% of Western Africa’s projected population, compared with 3.1% aged 65 or older. The conventional working-age group, 15–64, accounts for 56.8%.
By 2050, the medium scenario places the population at 734,831,108—a 54% increase from 2026. The 65+ share is projected to reach 4.7%.
The subregion is projected to record 15,172,879 births and 4,558,953 deaths in 2026, a natural increase of 10,613,926, with net migration of −189,416. Births outnumber deaths in every remaining year of the medium scenario through 2100. Between 2000 and 2023, cumulative net migration was −3,985,748.
Annual values; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection.
Mid-year population for every year; the medium scenario reaches 734.8M in 2050.
A regional pyramid is an aggregate, not a description of every country. The profiles within Western Africa range from a median age of 15.7 years in Niger to 51.0 years in Saint Helena. Those age structures imply different balances of schools, working-age cohorts, and older-age services.
Nigeria has 242,431,832 people in the 2026 medium projection.
Niger has a median age of 15.7 years and 45.8% under 15.
Niger has projected annual growth of +3.1%.
| Rank | Country or area | 2026 population | Median age | Under 15 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 242,431,832 | 18.3 | 40.0% | 3.1% |
| 2 | Ghana | 35,697,557 | 21.6 | 35.0% | 3.9% |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 33,494,346 | 18.5 | 40.0% | 2.7% |
| 4 | Niger | 28,814,878 | 15.7 | 45.8% | 2.6% |
| 5 | Mali | 25,932,275 | 15.9 | 45.4% | 2.3% |
| 6 | Burkina Faso | 24,601,700 | 18.0 | 40.5% | 2.7% |
| 7 | Senegal | 19,366,548 | 19.8 | 37.3% | 3.7% |
| 8 | Guinea | 15,441,992 | 18.5 | 40.2% | 3.5% |
| 9 | Benin | 15,170,420 | 18.2 | 40.9% | 3.2% |
| 10 | Togo | 9,930,918 | 19.2 | 38.8% | 3.3% |
| 11 | Sierra Leone | 8,996,744 | 19.9 | 37.2% | 3.3% |
| 12 | Liberia | 5,853,949 | 19.0 | 38.6% | 3.4% |
| 13 | Mauritania | 5,461,319 | 17.5 | 42.0% | 3.3% |
| 14 | Gambia | 2,884,079 | 18.8 | 39.2% | 3.3% |
| 15 | Guinea-Bissau | 2,297,808 | 19.6 | 37.8% | 3.3% |
| 16 | Cabo Verde | 529,630 | 29.5 | 23.8% | 7.5% |
| 17 | Saint Helena | 5,148 | 51.0 | 13.2% | 28.3% |
Regional age groups and totals come directly from the UN WPP 2024 medium series. Country groupings follow the UN M49 regions and subregions used in the source; territories and statistical areas may appear separately. Projection results depend on future fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions.
The UN WPP 2024 medium scenario projects Western Africa's 2026 population at 476,911,144.
Nigeria is the largest profile in this regional directory, with a projected 2026 population of 242,431,832.
The medium scenario shows a 54.1% increase between 2026 and 2050.