Largest population
Ethiopia has 138,902,185 people in the 2026 medium projection.
526,382,563 people in 2026 (projected), a UN subregion of Africa with 20 countries and areas.
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
Hover over or tap a bar to see exact values.
The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
In 2026, children under 15 make up 39.9% of Eastern Africa’s projected population, compared with 3.1% aged 65 or older. The conventional working-age group, 15–64, accounts for 57.0%.
By 2050, the medium scenario places the population at 855,453,353—a 63% increase from 2026. The 65+ share is projected to reach 5.0%.
The subregion is projected to record 16,527,606 births and 3,274,080 deaths in 2026, a natural increase of 13,253,526, with net migration of −291,209. Births outnumber deaths in every remaining year of the medium scenario through 2100. Between 2000 and 2023, cumulative net migration was −9,113,953.
Annual values; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection.
Mid-year population for every year; the medium scenario reaches 855.5M in 2050.
A regional pyramid is an aggregate, not a description of every country. The profiles within Eastern Africa range from a median age of 15.6 years in Somalia to 38.4 years in Réunion. Those age structures imply different balances of schools, working-age cohorts, and older-age services.
Ethiopia has 138,902,185 people in the 2026 medium projection.
Somalia has a median age of 15.6 years and 46.5% under 15.
Somalia has projected annual growth of +3.2%.
| Rank | Country or area | 2026 population | Median age | Under 15 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia | 138,902,185 | 19.3 | 38.5% | 3.4% |
| 2 | Tanzania | 72,563,780 | 17.6 | 42.1% | 3.0% |
| 3 | Kenya | 58,636,412 | 20.3 | 35.7% | 3.1% |
| 4 | Uganda | 52,761,470 | 17.1 | 42.7% | 2.3% |
| 5 | Mozambique | 36,639,850 | 16.6 | 43.9% | 2.7% |
| 6 | Madagascar | 33,522,052 | 19.4 | 38.6% | 3.5% |
| 7 | Malawi | 22,785,535 | 18.4 | 39.6% | 2.6% |
| 8 | Zambia | 22,521,915 | 18.2 | 40.5% | 2.1% |
| 9 | Somalia | 20,305,907 | 15.6 | 46.5% | 2.6% |
| 10 | Zimbabwe | 17,273,580 | 18.3 | 39.6% | 3.5% |
| 11 | Rwanda | 14,889,693 | 20.2 | 36.7% | 4.1% |
| 12 | Burundi | 14,729,157 | 16.6 | 43.2% | 2.6% |
| 13 | South Sudan | 12,436,037 | 19.0 | 37.1% | 3.2% |
| 14 | Eritrea | 3,682,669 | 19.5 | 37.1% | 4.3% |
| 15 | Mauritius | 1,265,059 | 38.3 | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| 16 | Djibouti | 1,199,459 | 25.2 | 28.5% | 5.1% |
| 17 | Comoros | 899,010 | 20.7 | 36.6% | 4.4% |
| 18 | Réunion | 886,298 | 38.4 | 20.2% | 16.9% |
| 19 | Mayotte | 347,536 | 17.3 | 42.1% | 2.9% |
| 20 | Seychelles | 134,959 | 34.6 | 19.6% | 9.0% |
Regional age groups and totals come directly from the UN WPP 2024 medium series. Country groupings follow the UN M49 regions and subregions used in the source; territories and statistical areas may appear separately. Projection results depend on future fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions.
The UN WPP 2024 medium scenario projects Eastern Africa's 2026 population at 526,382,563.
Ethiopia is the largest profile in this regional directory, with a projected 2026 population of 138,902,185.
The medium scenario shows a 62.5% increase between 2026 and 2050.