Lebanon population pyramid 2026
5,897,467 people in 2026 (projected). Lebanon’s pyramid pairs a bulge of children born in 2012–16 with a deficit of men aged 30–59, a sign of refugee arrivals and long-standing male emigration.
- 2026 population
- 5.9Mrank 116 of 237
- Median age
- 29.0 yearsoldest rank 145
- Fertility rate
- 2.19births per woman · above replacement
- Structure
- Transitional10.7% age 65+
Lebanon population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Lebanon age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 25.0% of the population, while 10.7% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 64.3% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Lebanon’s age structure as transitional; the guide to population pyramid types explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 55.5: about 56 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (38.8 children and 16.7 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Lebanon’s population pyramid
A famine notch and a civil war plateau
The oldest scar in Lebanon’s pyramid dates from the First World War. In 1950 the 30–34 band, people born around 1916–20, is about 30% narrower than the band below it, and the same cohort appears as a notch at ages 55–59 in 1975. Those years coincided with the great famine of 1915–18 in Mount Lebanon, when births fell and child deaths rose. The civil war of 1975–90 left a different kind of mark: life expectancy, about 66 in 1970, was slightly lower in 1990, before rising to about 77 by 2010.
Who left and who arrived
Lebanon has a large diaspora, and emigration has long been concentrated among young and middle-aged men. The 2026 pyramid shows the result clearly. Women outnumber men at every age from 30 upward, with only about 85 men per 100 women at ages 30–34 and 86 at 50–54, a gap far too large to come from mortality, since men’s life expectancy is about 76 against 80 for women. The overall sex ratio of about 95 men per 100 women is low for Western Asia.
Below age 30 the pattern reverses, with about 111 men per 100 women at ages 20–24, and the base carries a pronounced bulge. The 10–14 band, born about 2012–16, is about 11% wider than its neighbours. Those years coincided with the arrival of very large numbers of refugees from the war in neighbouring Syria, and children born to or arriving with refugee families are counted in the resident population. The UN’s net migration total for 2000–2023, a loss of about 248,000, hides large movements in both directions. The narrower bands below the bulge, at ages 0–9, coincide with the economic crisis since 2019, though the chart alone cannot show how much reflects fewer births and how much reflects departures.
A modest peak
Fertility has fallen from about 5.9 children per woman in 1960 to about 2.2, and the 2026 structure is closest to those of Venezuela, Panama and Israel. Under the UN medium scenario the population grows slowly, from about 5.9 million in 2026 to a peak of about 7.5 million in 2080, with deaths first exceeding births in 2081. By then the 2012–16 bulge is in its mid-sixties, and the guide to sex ratios by age explains how migration can unbalance the sexes long after a flow has ended.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.
| Age band in 2026 | Born about | Feature | Versus neighbouring bands |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10–14 | 2012–2016 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +11% |
Births outnumber deaths in 2026; the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2081. People aged 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 15 by 2060.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Lebanon is projected to record 92,671 births (about 254 births a day) and 36,463 deaths, a natural increase of 56,208. Net migration adds −6,685 people, ranking #154 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 2,359,463 births, 618,447 deaths, and cumulative net migration of −248,024. Over that period the balance of births and deaths moved the total more than migration did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of −68,373 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 80.1 years62.1 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 76.2 years57.9 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 17.8 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 14.6per 1,000 births · 76 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 17.2per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 29.2 yearssex ratio at birth 105.3
Women in Lebanon are projected to live 3.9 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 76 to 14.6 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #81 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 29.2 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Lebanon
The median age of 29.0 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 2.19 births per woman is above the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 78.2 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 5,897,467 | #116 | Largest first |
| Median age | 29.0 years | #145 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 2.19 | #93 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | +0.8% | #107 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 78.2 years | #83 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 10.7% | #112 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Lebanon
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10–14 | 558,311 | 9.5% | 285.4K / 272.9K |
| 2 | 15–19 | 543,258 | 9.2% | 279.5K / 263.8K |
| 3 | 20–24 | 488,455 | 8.3% | 256.6K / 231.8K |
| 4 | 5–9 | 459,997 | 7.8% | 237.2K / 222.8K |
| 5 | 0–4 | 453,966 | 7.7% | 232.6K / 221.4K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Lebanon has 2,870,766 males and 3,026,700 females. That is 94.8 males per 100 females, ranking #180 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 48.7% of the population and females for 51.3%. There are 155,934 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 78.0 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 105.3 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Lebanon has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 1,349,350 in 1950 to 5,897,467 in 2026, a change of 337%. Over the same span, median age moved from 22.0 to 29.0 years.
The under-15 share changed from 34.5% to 25.0%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 7.2% to 10.7%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Lebanon’s population is projected to grow by about 19%, reaching 6,999,260 in 2050. The median age changes from 29.0 to 36.5 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 5.6 percentage points to 16.3%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 20.0%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 7,458,250 in 2080. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 1,349,350 | 22.0 | 5.81 | 59.9 | 55,544 | 17,946 | 0 | +2.8% |
| 1960 | 1,794,406 | 18.9 | 5.88 | 63.9 | 70,795 | 18,280 | 0 | +2.9% |
| 1970 | 2,386,114 | 17.1 | 5.19 | 66.0 | 79,766 | 19,173 | −4,508 | +2.4% |
| 1980 | 2,944,763 | 18.7 | 4.01 | 59.9 | 92,819 | 29,766 | +2,104 | +2.2% |
| 1990 | 3,595,174 | 20.5 | 3.27 | 65.5 | 100,057 | 26,429 | −6,595 | +1.9% |
| 2000 | 4,329,340 | 23.2 | 2.60 | 73.9 | 92,241 | 19,601 | +455 | +1.7% |
| 2010 | 5,041,288 | 26.8 | 2.26 | 77.5 | 93,795 | 21,190 | −40,915 | +0.6% |
| 2020 | 5,702,398 | 27.8 | 2.31 | 76.3 | 96,441 | 36,534 | −47,787 | +0.2% |
| 2023 | 5,773,492 | 28.3 | 2.24 | 77.8 | 93,205 | 34,419 | −34,193 | +0.4% |
| 2024* | 5,805,962 | 28.6 | 2.23 | 77.9 | 92,653 | 35,038 | −17,267 | +0.7% |
| 2026* | 5,897,467 | 29.0 | 2.19 | 78.2 | 92,671 | 36,463 | −6,685 | +0.8% |
| 2030* | 6,103,808 | 30.1 | 2.11 | 78.8 | 94,877 | 39,536 | −1,658 | +0.9% |
| 2040* | 6,620,329 | 33.0 | 1.99 | 80.2 | 98,330 | 48,334 | −488 | +0.8% |
| 2050* | 6,999,260 | 36.5 | 1.90 | 81.6 | 86,551 | 56,594 | −3,811 | +0.4% |
| 2060* | 7,225,745 | 39.5 | 1.84 | 82.9 | 82,648 | 61,826 | +1,464 | +0.3% |
| 2070* | 7,375,569 | 41.5 | 1.80 | 84.2 | 80,525 | 65,804 | −531 | +0.2% |
| 2080* | 7,458,250 | 43.7 | 1.78 | 85.4 | 73,542 | 72,157 | −1,674 | 0.0% |
| 2090* | 7,401,018 | 46.0 | 1.76 | 86.5 | 69,482 | 81,894 | −1,119 | -0.2% |
| 2100* | 7,192,592 | 47.4 | 1.75 | 87.6 | 66,053 | 88,456 | −1,399 | -0.3% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 232,571 | 221,395 | 453,966 | 7.7% |
| 5–9 | 237,169 | 222,828 | 459,997 | 7.8% |
| 10–14 | 285,393 | 272,918 | 558,311 | 9.5% |
| 15–19 | 279,491 | 263,767 | 543,258 | 9.2% |
| 20–24 | 256,624 | 231,831 | 488,455 | 8.3% |
| 25–29 | 227,676 | 213,551 | 441,227 | 7.5% |
| 30–34 | 170,410 | 200,956 | 371,366 | 6.3% |
| 35–39 | 157,829 | 188,981 | 346,810 | 5.9% |
| 40–44 | 167,732 | 186,788 | 354,520 | 6.0% |
| 45–49 | 152,872 | 178,780 | 331,652 | 5.6% |
| 50–54 | 144,359 | 167,976 | 312,335 | 5.3% |
| 55–59 | 149,145 | 171,218 | 320,363 | 5.4% |
| 60–64 | 131,909 | 149,636 | 281,545 | 4.8% |
| 65–69 | 103,250 | 125,649 | 228,899 | 3.9% |
| 70–74 | 78,448 | 89,519 | 167,967 | 2.8% |
| 75–79 | 55,529 | 65,112 | 120,641 | 2.0% |
| 80–84 | 25,383 | 41,485 | 66,868 | 1.1% |
| 85–89 | 10,945 | 22,793 | 33,738 | 0.6% |
| 90–94 | 3,506 | 9,246 | 12,752 | 0.2% |
| 95–99 | 509 | 2,080 | 2,589 | 0.0% |
| 100+ | 17 | 193 | 210 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Lebanon’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Venezuela98% overlap · median age 29.5
- Panama96% overlap · median age 30.6
- Suriname96% overlap · median age 28.9
- Israel95% overlap · median age 29.3
- Mexico95% overlap · median age 30.0
- Dominican Republic95% overlap · median age 28.7
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Lebanon.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Lebanon Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/lebanon/
MLA
“Lebanon Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/lebanon/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “Lebanon Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/lebanon/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Lebanon in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Lebanon's population in 2026 is projected at 5,897,467.
What is the median age in Lebanon?
The projected median age in Lebanon in 2026 is 29.0 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Lebanon?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 2.19 births per woman, above the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Lebanon's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will grow by about 19%, from 5.9M to 7M.
What share of Lebanon is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 10.7% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 16.3%.
How many babies are born in Lebanon each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 92,671 births and 36,463 deaths in 2026, about 254 births a day. Births exceed deaths by 56,208.
What is life expectancy in Lebanon for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 80.1 years for women and 76.2 years for men, a gap of 3.9 years in favour of women.
Does Lebanon have more immigrants or emigrants?
Lebanon is projected to lose about 6,685 more people through emigration than it gains in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of −248,024.
What is the sex ratio in Lebanon?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 94.8 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.