Aruba population pyramid 2026
Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean
108,164 people in 2026 (projected). Aruba’s pyramid is top-heavy: its widest band is ages 60–64, a generation swelled by arrivals in the tourism boom, above a shrinking base of children.
- 2026 population
- 108.2Krank 197 of 237
- Median age
- 41.7 yearsoldest rank 50
- Fertility rate
- 1.61births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older18.5% age 65+
Aruba population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Aruba age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 16.2% of the population, while 18.5% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 65.3% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Aruba’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 53.0: about 53 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (24.8 children and 28.3 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Aruba’s population pyramid
A generation that moved up the pyramid
Aruba’s population of about 108,000 has been shaped as much by migration as by births. The island’s economy was long built on the oil refinery at San Nicolas, which closed in 1985, and then turned to tourism after Aruba became a separate country within the Kingdom of the Netherlands in 1986. In the 2000 pyramid the widest band is 35–39, people born around 1961–65; that cohort was larger in 2000 than it had been as children in 1975, so many of its members arrived as adults. The same cohort is now the 60–64 band, the widest in the 2026 pyramid and about 8% larger than its neighbours.
Fewer births, more deaths
Fertility has been below replacement since the 1990s and is now about 1.6, so the base keeps narrowing. Deaths have exceeded births since 2021, and the UN medium scenario puts the population peak in 2026. Women outnumber men from the thirties upward, and the overall sex ratio is about 90 men per 100 women.
With so few people, five-year bands are noisy: the bulge at 20–24 and notch at 25–29 in 2026 involve only several hundred people each, and moves to and from the Netherlands, for study or work, can easily produce them. The structure is closest to that of Barbados, and the guide to constrictive pyramids explains the narrowing base. By 2100 the population is projected at about 75,000.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.
| Age band in 2026 | Born about | Feature | Versus neighbouring bands |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25–29 | 1997–2001 | Notch (smaller cohort) | −11% |
| 20–24 | 2002–2006 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +10% |
Deaths have exceeded births every year since 2023; they also did so in 2021, but births then outnumbered deaths again. People aged 65 and older came to outnumber children under 15 between 2023 and 2025.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Aruba is projected to record 1,025 births (about 3 births a day) and 1,108 deaths, a natural decrease of 83. Net migration adds +73 people, ranking #78 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 28,236 births, 18,854 deaths, and cumulative net migration of +10,806. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of +423 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 79.2 years60.9 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 74.1 years55.2 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 16.7 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 10.4per 1,000 births · 83 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 12.5per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 29.1 yearssex ratio at birth 104.3
Women in Aruba are projected to live 5.1 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 83 to 10.4 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #108 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 29.1 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Aruba
The median age of 41.7 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.61 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 76.8 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 108,164 | #197 | Largest first |
| Median age | 41.7 years | #50 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.61 | #149 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | -0.0% | #173 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 76.8 years | #107 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 18.5% | #57 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Aruba
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60–64 | 8,410 | 7.8% | 3.9K / 4.6K |
| 2 | 55–59 | 8,070 | 7.5% | 3.6K / 4.4K |
| 3 | 65–69 | 7,504 | 6.9% | 3.3K / 4.2K |
| 4 | 50–54 | 7,457 | 6.9% | 3.4K / 4.1K |
| 5 | 45–49 | 7,084 | 6.5% | 3.2K / 3.9K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Aruba has 51,086 males and 57,078 females. That is 89.5 males per 100 females, ranking #222 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 47.2% of the population and females for 52.8%. There are 5,992 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 72.8 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 104.3 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Aruba has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 42,738 in 1950 to 108,164 in 2026, a change of 153%. Over the same span, median age moved from 18.9 to 41.7 years.
The under-15 share changed from 40.8% to 16.2%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 5.6% to 18.5%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Aruba’s population is projected to decline by about 8%, reaching 100,002 in 2050. The median age changes from 41.7 to 44.2 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 6.7 percentage points to 25.2%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 15.1%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 108,164 in 2026. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 42,738 | 18.9 | 5.83 | 58.0 | 1,777 | 695 | 0 | +2.5% |
| 1960 | 54,922 | 17.6 | 4.57 | 64.0 | 1,760 | 413 | −788 | +1.0% |
| 1970 | 58,950 | 19.4 | 2.97 | 67.4 | 1,412 | 361 | −1,189 | -0.2% |
| 1980 | 62,039 | 24.2 | 2.20 | 70.8 | 1,272 | 382 | −756 | +0.2% |
| 1990 | 64,433 | 30.8 | 2.34 | 72.5 | 1,230 | 539 | +879 | +2.4% |
| 2000 | 88,762 | 32.9 | 1.85 | 72.9 | 1,229 | 570 | +1,226 | +2.1% |
| 2010 | 100,114 | 37.1 | 1.86 | 74.3 | 1,169 | 720 | +501 | +0.9% |
| 2020 | 107,400 | 40.4 | 1.66 | 75.4 | 1,073 | 1,033 | 0 | +0.0% |
| 2023 | 107,939 | 41.0 | 1.60 | 76.4 | 1,020 | 1,034 | +147 | +0.1% |
| 2024* | 108,066 | 41.3 | 1.61 | 76.5 | 1,022 | 1,054 | +141 | +0.1% |
| 2026* | 108,164 | 41.7 | 1.61 | 76.8 | 1,025 | 1,108 | +73 | -0.0% |
| 2030* | 107,864 | 42.6 | 1.61 | 77.4 | 1,036 | 1,217 | +36 | -0.1% |
| 2040* | 104,888 | 43.7 | 1.61 | 78.8 | 1,053 | 1,456 | −2 | -0.4% |
| 2050* | 100,002 | 44.2 | 1.62 | 80.3 | 910 | 1,493 | +18 | -0.6% |
| 2060* | 94,207 | 46.1 | 1.62 | 81.7 | 810 | 1,348 | −18 | -0.6% |
| 2070* | 89,244 | 47.4 | 1.63 | 83.0 | 800 | 1,228 | −13 | -0.5% |
| 2080* | 84,939 | 47.8 | 1.63 | 84.3 | 723 | 1,156 | −6 | -0.5% |
| 2090* | 80,250 | 49.0 | 1.64 | 85.5 | 646 | 1,142 | 0 | -0.6% |
| 2100* | 75,170 | 50.0 | 1.64 | 86.7 | 624 | 1,124 | 0 | -0.7% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 2,603 | 2,502 | 5,105 | 4.7% |
| 5–9 | 2,881 | 2,772 | 5,653 | 5.2% |
| 10–14 | 3,443 | 3,313 | 6,756 | 6.2% |
| 15–19 | 3,518 | 3,384 | 6,902 | 6.4% |
| 20–24 | 3,630 | 3,430 | 7,060 | 6.5% |
| 25–29 | 3,099 | 2,835 | 5,934 | 5.5% |
| 30–34 | 3,072 | 3,164 | 6,236 | 5.8% |
| 35–39 | 3,268 | 3,476 | 6,744 | 6.2% |
| 40–44 | 3,159 | 3,619 | 6,778 | 6.3% |
| 45–49 | 3,155 | 3,929 | 7,084 | 6.5% |
| 50–54 | 3,365 | 4,092 | 7,457 | 6.9% |
| 55–59 | 3,631 | 4,439 | 8,070 | 7.5% |
| 60–64 | 3,850 | 4,560 | 8,410 | 7.8% |
| 65–69 | 3,280 | 4,224 | 7,504 | 6.9% |
| 70–74 | 2,591 | 3,295 | 5,886 | 5.4% |
| 75–79 | 1,595 | 2,206 | 3,801 | 3.5% |
| 80–84 | 707 | 1,194 | 1,901 | 1.8% |
| 85–89 | 206 | 511 | 717 | 0.7% |
| 90–94 | 33 | 124 | 157 | 0.1% |
| 95–99 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 0.0% |
| 100+ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Aruba’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Barbados96% overlap · median age 39.7
- North Macedonia96% overlap · median age 41.4
- Montenegro95% overlap · median age 40.4
- Montserrat95% overlap · median age 41.8
- Liechtenstein95% overlap · median age 44.7
- Belgium95% overlap · median age 42.1
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Aruba.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Aruba Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/aruba/
MLA
“Aruba Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/aruba/.
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World Population Pyramid. “Aruba Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/aruba/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Aruba in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Aruba's population in 2026 is projected at 108,164.
What is the median age in Aruba?
The projected median age in Aruba in 2026 is 41.7 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Aruba?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.61 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Aruba's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will decline by about 8%, from 108.2K to 100K.
What share of Aruba is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 18.5% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 25.2%.
How many babies are born in Aruba each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 1,025 births and 1,108 deaths in 2026, about 3 births a day. Deaths exceed births by 83.
What is life expectancy in Aruba for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 79.2 years for women and 74.1 years for men, a gap of 5.1 years in favour of women.
Does Aruba have more immigrants or emigrants?
Aruba is projected to gain about 73 more people through migration than it loses in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of +10,806.
What is the sex ratio in Aruba?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 89.5 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.