Bahamas population pyramid 2026
Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean
404,628 people in 2026 (projected). The Bahamas’ pyramid is widest at ages 30–34 and narrows below, after fertility fell from about five children per woman in 1960 to under 1.4 today.
- 2026 population
- 404.6Krank 178 of 237
- Median age
- 35.7 yearsoldest rank 100
- Fertility rate
- 1.36births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older12.5% age 65+
Bahamas population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Bahamas age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 17.2% of the population, while 12.5% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 70.3% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Bahamas’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 42.2: about 42 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (24.5 children and 17.7 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Bahamas’s population pyramid
From rapid growth to a narrowing base
The population of the Bahamas grew from about 83,000 in 1950 to 210,000 in 1975, a period of high fertility, about five children per woman around 1960, and of growth in tourism and finance that drew migrants; the UN estimates net immigration of about 45,000 over 1950–99. Fertility then declined steadily, to about 2.1 by 2000 and 1.4 by 2023, well below the replacement level. The 2026 pyramid is widest at ages 30–34, a cohort born around 1992–96 that is about 9% larger than its neighbours, and each younger band is smaller. Deaths first exceeded births in 2021.
A shortage of men
The female majority begins unusually early. In 1950 women outnumbered men in every band from 10 to 79, a pattern the chart alone cannot explain, though male labour migration abroad is one possibility. Today the sexes are balanced among children, but there are 89 men per 100 women at 40–44 and 85 at 60–64. Women outlive men by about seven years (78.6 against 71.4), a wide gap that adds to the imbalance at older ages.
With only about 400,000 residents, migration can shift individual bands noticeably. Under the medium scenario the population edges up to a peak of about 424,000 in 2050. Its current structure is closest to Antigua and Barbuda, Costa Rica and Saint Lucia.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
No five-year band under age 80 is more than 10% larger or smaller than both of its neighbours, so Bahamas’s 2026 pyramid has a comparatively smooth profile without sharp bulges or notches.
Births outnumber deaths in 2026 (deaths were higher in 2021); the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2035. People aged 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 15 by 2035.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Bahamas is projected to record 4,268 births (about 12 births a day) and 3,639 deaths, a natural increase of 629. Net migration adds +902 people, ranking #50 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 122,193 births, 68,424 deaths, and cumulative net migration of +24,926. Over that period the balance of births and deaths moved the total more than migration did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of +26,882 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 78.6 years61.7 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 71.4 years55.9 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 18.2 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 10.1per 1,000 births · 72 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 11.9per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 28.9 yearssex ratio at birth 102.7
Women in Bahamas are projected to live 7.2 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 72 to 10.1 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #113 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 28.9 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Bahamas
The median age of 35.7 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.36 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 75.0 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 404,628 | #178 | Largest first |
| Median age | 35.7 years | #100 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.36 | #202 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | +0.4% | #150 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 75.0 years | #128 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 12.5% | #102 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Bahamas
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30–34 | 33,677 | 8.3% | 16.3K / 17.3K |
| 2 | 35–39 | 31,092 | 7.7% | 14.8K / 16.3K |
| 3 | 25–29 | 30,525 | 7.5% | 15K / 15.6K |
| 4 | 20–24 | 29,065 | 7.2% | 14.4K / 14.6K |
| 5 | 15–19 | 28,654 | 7.1% | 14.4K / 14.2K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Bahamas has 192,920 males and 211,708 females. That is 91.1 males per 100 females, ranking #209 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 47.7% of the population and females for 52.3%. There are 18,788 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 72.3 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 102.7 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, slightly below the typical value of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Bahamas has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 83,487 in 1950 to 404,628 in 2026, a change of 385%. Over the same span, median age moved from 19.4 to 35.7 years.
The under-15 share changed from 40.1% to 17.2%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 4.6% to 12.5%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Bahamas’s population is projected to grow by about 5%, reaching 424,265 in 2050. The median age changes from 35.7 to 42.5 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 8.7 percentage points to 21.2%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 14.4%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 424,265 in 2050. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 83,487 | 19.4 | 4.52 | 58.9 | 3,068 | 975 | −1,219 | +1.0% |
| 1960 | 116,317 | 18.5 | 5.09 | 62.5 | 4,362 | 1,011 | +2,290 | +4.8% |
| 1970 | 184,982 | 19.6 | 4.21 | 66.2 | 5,940 | 1,215 | +1,517 | +3.4% |
| 1980 | 232,526 | 21.0 | 2.84 | 69.1 | 5,196 | 1,352 | +367 | +1.8% |
| 1990 | 275,944 | 24.3 | 2.52 | 70.9 | 6,128 | 1,697 | +241 | +1.7% |
| 2000 | 323,835 | 27.6 | 2.06 | 72.5 | 5,587 | 2,100 | +845 | +1.3% |
| 2010 | 367,478 | 30.5 | 1.84 | 73.4 | 5,352 | 2,691 | +1,898 | +1.2% |
| 2020 | 395,862 | 33.6 | 1.39 | 73.0 | 4,400 | 3,770 | 0 | +0.2% |
| 2023 | 399,440 | 34.6 | 1.37 | 74.6 | 4,335 | 3,480 | +1,001 | +0.5% |
| 2024* | 401,283 | 34.9 | 1.37 | 74.7 | 4,341 | 3,519 | +1,018 | +0.5% |
| 2026* | 404,628 | 35.7 | 1.36 | 75.0 | 4,268 | 3,639 | +902 | +0.4% |
| 2030* | 410,266 | 37.1 | 1.35 | 75.6 | 4,197 | 3,867 | +972 | +0.3% |
| 2040* | 420,346 | 40.4 | 1.39 | 77.1 | 4,016 | 4,412 | +1,151 | +0.2% |
| 2050* | 424,265 | 42.5 | 1.41 | 78.7 | 3,771 | 4,941 | +1,144 | -0.0% |
| 2060* | 421,458 | 44.7 | 1.43 | 80.1 | 3,657 | 5,306 | +1,129 | -0.1% |
| 2070* | 414,926 | 45.5 | 1.46 | 81.5 | 3,601 | 5,401 | +1,084 | -0.2% |
| 2080* | 405,966 | 46.0 | 1.48 | 82.9 | 3,498 | 5,464 | +980 | -0.2% |
| 2090* | 395,057 | 46.3 | 1.49 | 84.1 | 3,410 | 5,366 | +869 | -0.3% |
| 2100* | 384,955 | 46.5 | 1.51 | 85.3 | 3,363 | 5,128 | +770 | -0.3% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 10,975 | 10,721 | 21,696 | 5.4% |
| 5–9 | 11,297 | 11,034 | 22,331 | 5.5% |
| 10–14 | 13,015 | 12,723 | 25,738 | 6.4% |
| 15–19 | 14,414 | 14,240 | 28,654 | 7.1% |
| 20–24 | 14,441 | 14,624 | 29,065 | 7.2% |
| 25–29 | 14,955 | 15,570 | 30,525 | 7.5% |
| 30–34 | 16,329 | 17,348 | 33,677 | 8.3% |
| 35–39 | 14,816 | 16,276 | 31,092 | 7.7% |
| 40–44 | 13,257 | 14,929 | 28,186 | 7.0% |
| 45–49 | 12,581 | 14,231 | 26,812 | 6.6% |
| 50–54 | 12,696 | 14,273 | 26,969 | 6.7% |
| 55–59 | 12,425 | 14,096 | 26,521 | 6.6% |
| 60–64 | 10,585 | 12,402 | 22,987 | 5.7% |
| 65–69 | 7,564 | 9,239 | 16,803 | 4.2% |
| 70–74 | 5,165 | 6,718 | 11,883 | 2.9% |
| 75–79 | 3,747 | 5,434 | 9,181 | 2.3% |
| 80–84 | 2,744 | 4,124 | 6,868 | 1.7% |
| 85–89 | 1,361 | 2,275 | 3,636 | 0.9% |
| 90–94 | 436 | 1,006 | 1,442 | 0.4% |
| 95–99 | 102 | 351 | 453 | 0.1% |
| 100+ | 16 | 96 | 112 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Bahamas’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Antigua and Barbuda97% overlap · median age 36.7
- Costa Rica97% overlap · median age 35.7
- Saint Lucia97% overlap · median age 35.1
- Dominica96% overlap · median age 36.6
- French Polynesia96% overlap · median age 36.7
- Chile96% overlap · median age 37.4
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Bahamas.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Bahamas Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/bahamas/
MLA
“Bahamas Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/bahamas/.
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World Population Pyramid. “Bahamas Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/bahamas/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Bahamas in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Bahamas's population in 2026 is projected at 404,628.
What is the median age in Bahamas?
The projected median age in Bahamas in 2026 is 35.7 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Bahamas?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.36 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Bahamas's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will grow by about 5%, from 404.6K to 424.3K.
What share of Bahamas is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 12.5% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 21.2%.
How many babies are born in Bahamas each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 4,268 births and 3,639 deaths in 2026, about 12 births a day. Births exceed deaths by 629.
What is life expectancy in Bahamas for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 78.6 years for women and 71.4 years for men, a gap of 7.2 years in favour of women.
Does Bahamas have more immigrants or emigrants?
Bahamas is projected to gain about 902 more people through migration than it loses in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of +24,926.
What is the sex ratio in Bahamas?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 91.1 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.