Guadeloupe population pyramid 2026
Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean
372,453 people in 2026 (projected). Guadeloupe’s pyramid is hollow in the middle: so many young adults leave for mainland France that there are only 67 men per 100 women at ages 40–44.
- 2026 population
- 372.5Krank 180 of 237
- Median age
- 47.4 yearsoldest rank 10
- Fertility rate
- 2.04births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older25.5% age 65+
Guadeloupe population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Guadeloupe age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 15.9% of the population, while 25.5% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 58.6% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Guadeloupe’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 70.6: about 71 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (27.0 children and 43.5 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Guadeloupe’s population pyramid
A departure route to mainland France
Guadeloupe is an overseas department of France, and its residents are French citizens free to live and work anywhere in the country. Movement to the mainland has shaped the pyramid for more than half a century, beginning with the state-organised migration scheme BUMIDOM of the 1960s and 1970s and continuing through study and job-seeking. The UN estimates net emigration of about 86,000 people between 1950 and 1999 and about 105,000 between 2000 and 2023, very large figures for a population that peaked at about 421,000 in 1999.
The effect on cohorts is stark. The children aged 0–4 in 2000 numbered about 36,000; the same cohort, aged 25–29 in 2026, numbers about 16,000. In the 2026 chart the bands from 25 to 49 are all narrower than both the teenage bands below and the 50–64 bands above, and the 30–34 band, born about 1992–96, forms a notch about 9% smaller than its neighbours.
More women than men in the working ages
Men leave in larger numbers than women, or return less often. At ages 20–24 there are still 108 men per 100 women, but the ratio falls to 78 at ages 30–34 and 67 at 40–44, an unusually severe imbalance for a working-age population, and it shows up clearly in the sex ratio ranking. Above 60 the gap is maintained by mortality, with female life expectancy (85.9 years) about seven years higher than male (78.7). Overall there are only about 82 men for every 100 women.
Older than its fertility suggests
Fertility has stayed close to replacement level, about 2.0–2.2 children per woman, since about 1990, so Guadeloupe’s ageing comes less from a lack of births than from the loss of the generation that would otherwise be raising children on the island. Its median age is about 47, and its age structure is closest to that of Martinique, the neighbouring French department with a similar migration history. The population ageing guide explains the general mechanisms.
Under the UN medium scenario deaths first exceed births in 2027 and the population falls to about 326,000 by 2050. The median age then dips slightly, to about 45.5, as the large 1960s cohorts pass through the oldest ages.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.
| Age band in 2026 | Born about | Feature | Versus neighbouring bands |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60–64 | 1962–1966 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +10% |
Births outnumber deaths in 2026; the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2027. People aged 65 and older came to outnumber children under 15 between 2015 and 2020.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Guadeloupe is projected to record 3,854 births (about 11 births a day) and 3,765 deaths, a natural increase of 89. Net migration adds −1,442 people, ranking #208 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 134,619 births, 74,158 deaths, and cumulative net migration of −105,044. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of −24,450 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 85.9 years55.3 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 78.7 years50.8 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 22.2 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 6.2per 1,000 births · 80 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 7.6per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 32.0 yearssex ratio at birth 103.3
Women in Guadeloupe are projected to live 7.2 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 80 to 6.2 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #153 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 32.0 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Guadeloupe
The median age of 47.4 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 2.04 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 82.6 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 372,453 | #180 | Largest first |
| Median age | 47.4 years | #10 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 2.04 | #109 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | -0.4% | #198 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 82.6 years | #33 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 25.5% | #8 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Guadeloupe
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60–64 | 30,619 | 8.2% | 14K / 16.6K |
| 2 | 55–59 | 28,283 | 7.6% | 12K / 16.3K |
| 3 | 65–69 | 27,319 | 7.3% | 12.9K / 14.4K |
| 4 | 50–54 | 25,909 | 7.0% | 10.8K / 15.1K |
| 5 | 15–19 | 23,540 | 6.3% | 12K / 11.5K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Guadeloupe has 168,209 males and 204,244 females. That is 82.4 males per 100 females, ranking #236 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 45.2% of the population and females for 54.8%. There are 36,035 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 74.6 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 103.3 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, slightly below the typical value of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Guadeloupe has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 215,515 in 1950 to 372,453 in 2026, a change of 73%. Over the same span, median age moved from 19.7 to 47.4 years.
The under-15 share changed from 39.9% to 15.9%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 5.5% to 25.5%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Guadeloupe’s population is projected to decline by about 12%, reaching 326,318 in 2050. The median age changes from 47.4 to 45.5 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 7.6 percentage points to 33.1%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 15.8%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest estimated population of 420,932 in 1999. Historical population totals are estimates rather than exact head counts. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 215,515 | 19.7 | 5.59 | 53.1 | 8,609 | 3,708 | −2,724 | +1.0% |
| 1960 | 279,427 | 17.3 | 5.77 | 61.1 | 10,429 | 2,827 | −92 | +2.7% |
| 1970 | 318,111 | 17.8 | 4.76 | 64.7 | 9,988 | 2,758 | −6,068 | +0.4% |
| 1980 | 331,211 | 21.5 | 2.47 | 69.9 | 6,561 | 2,385 | −3,478 | +0.2% |
| 1990 | 388,813 | 26.2 | 2.24 | 73.9 | 7,483 | 2,480 | +423 | +1.4% |
| 2000 | 419,568 | 32.2 | 2.22 | 77.1 | 7,371 | 2,737 | −6,167 | -0.4% |
| 2010 | 408,812 | 36.9 | 2.14 | 80.1 | 5,469 | 2,833 | −2,639 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 407,394 | 44.4 | 2.17 | 80.6 | 4,915 | 3,827 | −3,508 | -0.6% |
| 2023 | 376,516 | 46.6 | 2.09 | 82.1 | 4,233 | 3,560 | −2,192 | -0.4% |
| 2024* | 375,106 | 46.9 | 2.07 | 82.2 | 4,101 | 3,640 | −1,765 | -0.3% |
| 2026* | 372,453 | 47.4 | 2.04 | 82.6 | 3,854 | 3,765 | −1,442 | -0.4% |
| 2030* | 366,343 | 48.2 | 1.99 | 83.1 | 3,563 | 4,042 | −1,177 | -0.5% |
| 2040* | 348,988 | 48.4 | 1.92 | 84.4 | 3,713 | 4,731 | −940 | -0.6% |
| 2050* | 326,318 | 45.5 | 1.89 | 85.6 | 3,214 | 5,042 | −721 | -0.8% |
| 2060* | 301,044 | 46.5 | 1.85 | 86.8 | 2,880 | 4,668 | −695 | -0.8% |
| 2070* | 280,919 | 46.2 | 1.83 | 87.9 | 2,809 | 3,847 | −571 | -0.6% |
| 2080* | 268,152 | 46.7 | 1.81 | 88.8 | 2,607 | 3,200 | −542 | -0.4% |
| 2090* | 256,961 | 48.3 | 1.79 | 89.7 | 2,282 | 3,013 | −372 | -0.4% |
| 2100* | 244,457 | 50.1 | 1.78 | 90.7 | 2,165 | 3,111 | −367 | -0.5% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 9,611 | 9,310 | 18,921 | 5.1% |
| 5–9 | 9,713 | 9,289 | 19,002 | 5.1% |
| 10–14 | 10,524 | 10,597 | 21,121 | 5.7% |
| 15–19 | 12,042 | 11,498 | 23,540 | 6.3% |
| 20–24 | 11,565 | 10,701 | 22,266 | 6.0% |
| 25–29 | 7,662 | 8,241 | 15,903 | 4.3% |
| 30–34 | 6,728 | 8,651 | 15,379 | 4.1% |
| 35–39 | 7,463 | 10,489 | 17,952 | 4.8% |
| 40–44 | 7,554 | 11,288 | 18,842 | 5.1% |
| 45–49 | 7,985 | 11,688 | 19,673 | 5.3% |
| 50–54 | 10,802 | 15,107 | 25,909 | 7.0% |
| 55–59 | 11,963 | 16,320 | 28,283 | 7.6% |
| 60–64 | 13,992 | 16,627 | 30,619 | 8.2% |
| 65–69 | 12,948 | 14,371 | 27,319 | 7.3% |
| 70–74 | 10,274 | 13,055 | 23,329 | 6.3% |
| 75–79 | 8,414 | 11,064 | 19,478 | 5.2% |
| 80–84 | 4,910 | 7,132 | 12,042 | 3.2% |
| 85–89 | 2,517 | 4,549 | 7,066 | 1.9% |
| 90–94 | 1,147 | 2,692 | 3,839 | 1.0% |
| 95–99 | 339 | 1,192 | 1,531 | 0.4% |
| 100+ | 56 | 380 | 436 | 0.1% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Guadeloupe’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Martinique96% overlap · median age 50.2
- United States Virgin Islands96% overlap · median age 44.9
- Isle of Man94% overlap · median age 46.3
- France93% overlap · median age 42.5
- Bermuda93% overlap · median age 46.4
- Croatia92% overlap · median age 45.5
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Guadeloupe.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Guadeloupe Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/guadeloupe/
MLA
“Guadeloupe Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/guadeloupe/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “Guadeloupe Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/guadeloupe/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Guadeloupe in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Guadeloupe's population in 2026 is projected at 372,453.
What is the median age in Guadeloupe?
The projected median age in Guadeloupe in 2026 is 47.4 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Guadeloupe?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 2.04 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Guadeloupe's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will decline by about 12%, from 372.5K to 326.3K.
What share of Guadeloupe is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 25.5% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 33.1%.
How many babies are born in Guadeloupe each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 3,854 births and 3,765 deaths in 2026, about 11 births a day. Births exceed deaths by 89.
What is life expectancy in Guadeloupe for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 85.9 years for women and 78.7 years for men, a gap of 7.2 years in favour of women.
Does Guadeloupe have more immigrants or emigrants?
Guadeloupe is projected to lose about 1,442 more people through emigration than it gains in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of −105,044.
What is the sex ratio in Guadeloupe?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 82.4 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.