Jersey population pyramid 2026
104,106 people in 2026 (projected). Jersey’s population has grown by more than 80% since 1950 although deaths first overtook births in 1972; migration, more than births, has driven that growth.
- 2026 population
- 104.1Krank 198 of 237
- Median age
- 43.9 yearsoldest rank 31
- Fertility rate
- 1.38births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older19.7% age 65+
Jersey population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Jersey age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 14.0% of the population, while 19.7% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 66.3% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Jersey’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 50.8: about 51 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (21.1 children and 29.7 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Jersey’s population pyramid
Occupation and an early-ageing island
Jersey’s 1950 pyramid was already old by the standards of the time, with a median age of about 35 and 12% of residents aged 65 or older. Its clearest feature is a notch at ages 5–9: children born in 1941–45, during the German occupation of the Channel Islands, which followed the evacuation of many families to Britain in 1940.
Growth by migration
Fertility fell below two children per woman by 1970 and has been around 1.4–1.6 since, and deaths first exceeded births in 1972. Yet the population rose from about 57,000 in 1950 to about 104,000 in 2026, because people kept arriving, many drawn by the expansion of financial services; the UN estimates net immigration of about 23,000 over 1950–99 and 14,000 over 2000–23. The 2026 pyramid has no sharp irregularities. It is widest at 55–64 and tapers steadily towards a base about half that width. In a population of this size each band holds only a few thousand people, so movements of a few hundred migrants can visibly change its shape from year to year.
Under the medium scenario the population stays close to 100,000 to 2100, with the share aged 65 or older rising to about 29% by 2050. Jersey’s structure is closest to Liechtenstein and its neighbour Guernsey.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
No five-year band under age 80 is more than 10% larger or smaller than both of its neighbours, so Jersey’s 2026 pyramid has a comparatively smooth profile without sharp bulges or notches.
Deaths have exceeded births every year since 2017; they also did so in 1972, but births then outnumbered deaths again. People aged 65 and older came to outnumber children under 15 between 2010 and 2015.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Jersey is projected to record 844 births (about 2 births a day) and 1,137 deaths, a natural decrease of 293. Net migration adds +402 people, ranking #31 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 23,449 births, 21,487 deaths, and cumulative net migration of +14,096. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of +9,113 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 82.1 years72.3 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 78.2 years66.4 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 18.7 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 8.2per 1,000 births · 32 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 9.5per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 31.0 yearssex ratio at birth 105.4
Women in Jersey are projected to live 3.9 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 32 to 8.2 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #134 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 31.0 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Jersey
The median age of 43.9 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.38 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 80.1 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 104,106 | #198 | Largest first |
| Median age | 43.9 years | #31 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.38 | #196 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | +0.1% | #168 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 80.1 years | #59 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 19.7% | #48 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Jersey
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55–59 | 8,292 | 8.0% | 4.1K / 4.2K |
| 2 | 60–64 | 8,020 | 7.7% | 4K / 4K |
| 3 | 45–49 | 7,601 | 7.3% | 3.8K / 3.8K |
| 4 | 50–54 | 7,504 | 7.2% | 3.7K / 3.8K |
| 5 | 40–44 | 7,385 | 7.1% | 3.7K / 3.7K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Jersey has 51,355 males and 52,751 females. That is 97.4 males per 100 females, ranking #144 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 49.3% of the population and females for 50.7%. There are 1,396 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 83.2 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 105.4 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Jersey has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 57,110 in 1950 to 104,106 in 2026, a change of 82%. Over the same span, median age moved from 35.2 to 43.9 years.
The under-15 share changed from 20.1% to 14.0%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 12.4% to 19.7%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Jersey’s population is projected to remain broadly stable, reaching 104,766 in 2050. The median age changes from 43.9 to 46.2 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 9.1 percentage points to 28.8%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 13.6%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 105,239 in 2043. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 57,110 | 35.2 | 2.18 | 69.4 | 913 | 718 | +874 | +1.9% |
| 1960 | 63,644 | 35.7 | 2.41 | 70.5 | 1,052 | 782 | +374 | +1.0% |
| 1970 | 69,654 | 33.9 | 1.93 | 71.1 | 988 | 874 | +351 | +0.7% |
| 1980 | 76,533 | 33.7 | 1.35 | 72.7 | 872 | 910 | +372 | +0.4% |
| 1990 | 84,186 | 34.3 | 1.45 | 76.1 | 1,105 | 879 | +783 | +1.2% |
| 2000 | 87,841 | 36.7 | 1.51 | 78.4 | 1,037 | 799 | +24 | +0.3% |
| 2010 | 97,108 | 39.5 | 1.59 | 80.5 | 1,060 | 793 | +698 | +1.0% |
| 2020 | 103,130 | 42.4 | 1.34 | 79.4 | 856 | 1,145 | +536 | +0.3% |
| 2023 | 103,674 | 43.1 | 1.37 | 79.7 | 853 | 1,150 | +480 | +0.2% |
| 2024* | 103,846 | 43.4 | 1.37 | 79.8 | 851 | 1,145 | +450 | +0.1% |
| 2026* | 104,106 | 43.9 | 1.38 | 80.1 | 844 | 1,137 | +402 | +0.1% |
| 2030* | 104,518 | 44.9 | 1.41 | 80.8 | 849 | 1,139 | +379 | +0.1% |
| 2040* | 105,190 | 46.4 | 1.45 | 82.3 | 918 | 1,238 | +365 | +0.1% |
| 2050* | 104,766 | 46.2 | 1.47 | 83.8 | 877 | 1,361 | +351 | -0.1% |
| 2060* | 102,689 | 46.8 | 1.50 | 85.1 | 844 | 1,392 | +318 | -0.2% |
| 2070* | 100,982 | 46.9 | 1.52 | 86.5 | 874 | 1,308 | +303 | -0.1% |
| 2080* | 100,146 | 46.5 | 1.54 | 87.6 | 870 | 1,220 | +309 | -0.0% |
| 2090* | 99,992 | 46.9 | 1.55 | 88.8 | 850 | 1,155 | +304 | -0.0% |
| 2100* | 99,810 | 47.4 | 1.56 | 89.9 | 860 | 1,157 | +277 | -0.0% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 2,230 | 2,119 | 4,349 | 4.2% |
| 5–9 | 2,470 | 2,291 | 4,761 | 4.6% |
| 10–14 | 2,745 | 2,692 | 5,437 | 5.2% |
| 15–19 | 2,768 | 2,814 | 5,582 | 5.4% |
| 20–24 | 2,917 | 2,830 | 5,747 | 5.5% |
| 25–29 | 3,110 | 2,921 | 6,031 | 5.8% |
| 30–34 | 3,130 | 3,014 | 6,144 | 5.9% |
| 35–39 | 3,369 | 3,374 | 6,743 | 6.5% |
| 40–44 | 3,690 | 3,695 | 7,385 | 7.1% |
| 45–49 | 3,785 | 3,816 | 7,601 | 7.3% |
| 50–54 | 3,725 | 3,779 | 7,504 | 7.2% |
| 55–59 | 4,125 | 4,167 | 8,292 | 8.0% |
| 60–64 | 3,977 | 4,043 | 8,020 | 7.7% |
| 65–69 | 3,131 | 3,320 | 6,451 | 6.2% |
| 70–74 | 2,284 | 2,581 | 4,865 | 4.7% |
| 75–79 | 1,845 | 2,201 | 4,046 | 3.9% |
| 80–84 | 1,109 | 1,481 | 2,590 | 2.5% |
| 85–89 | 649 | 954 | 1,603 | 1.5% |
| 90–94 | 241 | 478 | 719 | 0.7% |
| 95–99 | 49 | 151 | 200 | 0.2% |
| 100+ | 6 | 31 | 37 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Jersey’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Liechtenstein97% overlap · median age 44.7
- Guernsey96% overlap · median age 44.5
- Austria96% overlap · median age 43.9
- Switzerland96% overlap · median age 43.2
- Slovenia96% overlap · median age 45.0
- Bermuda96% overlap · median age 46.4
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Jersey.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Jersey Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/jersey/
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“Jersey Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/jersey/.
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World Population Pyramid. “Jersey Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/jersey/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Jersey in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Jersey's population in 2026 is projected at 104,106.
What is the median age in Jersey?
The projected median age in Jersey in 2026 is 43.9 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Jersey?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.38 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Jersey's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will remain broadly stable, from 104.1K to 104.8K.
What share of Jersey is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 19.7% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 28.8%.
How many babies are born in Jersey each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 844 births and 1,137 deaths in 2026, about 2 births a day. Deaths exceed births by 293.
What is life expectancy in Jersey for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 82.1 years for women and 78.2 years for men, a gap of 3.9 years in favour of women.
Does Jersey have more immigrants or emigrants?
Jersey is projected to gain about 402 more people through migration than it loses in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of +14,096.
What is the sex ratio in Jersey?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 97.4 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.