Gibraltar population pyramid 2026
40,867 people in 2026 (projected). Gibraltar’s pyramid is almost a rectangle: every five-year band from birth to 64 holds roughly the same number of people, shaped by migration as much as births.
- 2026 population
- 40.9Krank 216 of 237
- Median age
- 38.8 yearsoldest rank 77
- Fertility rate
- 1.88births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older18.1% age 65+
Gibraltar population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Gibraltar age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 17.6% of the population, while 18.1% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 64.3% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Gibraltar’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 55.4: about 55 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (27.3 children and 28.1 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Gibraltar’s population pyramid
A column rather than a pyramid
With about 41,000 residents packed onto a small peninsula, Gibraltar has an unusually flat age profile. In 2026 each band from 0–4 to 60–64 holds between about 2,300 and 2,800 people, and the outline only begins to taper above 65. Fertility, at about 1.9 children per woman, is higher than in most of Europe, and births exceed deaths by almost two to one, so the base has not shrunk. The outline resembles a stationary population pyramid, although the population is still growing through immigration, and the overall structure is closest to Australia, New Zealand and the United States.
Migration and the border
Because the population is so small, movements of a few hundred people reshape the bands. Between 1950 and 1999 the UN series records a net outflow of about 9,500 people, and the population barely changed between 1975 and 2000. During the closure of the land border with Spain from 1969 to 1985, workers recruited from Morocco, mostly men, took the place of Spanish commuters, which coincides with the male surplus at ages 20–49 in the 1975 pyramid. Since 2000 the flow has reversed, with net immigration of about 7,200 people, and the population has grown by nearly half. Thousands of people who work in Gibraltar live across the border in Spain and are not counted as residents, so the pyramid understates the size of the daytime workforce.
The medium scenario assumes immigration continues and projects about 50,000 residents by 2050, with deaths not exceeding births until 2067. In a population this size, such projections depend heavily on housing and labour-market decisions rather than on demographic trends alone.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
No five-year band under age 80 is more than 10% larger or smaller than both of its neighbours, so Gibraltar’s 2026 pyramid has a comparatively smooth profile without sharp bulges or notches.
Births outnumber deaths in 2026; the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2067. People aged 65 and older came to outnumber children under 15 between 2023 and 2025.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Gibraltar is projected to record 502 births (about 1 births a day) and 275 deaths, a natural increase of 227. Net migration adds +480 people, ranking #6 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 9,477 births, 5,501 deaths, and cumulative net migration of +7,238. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of +5,383 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 86.4 years69.3 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 81.3 years60.7 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 22.5 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 8.0per 1,000 births · 49 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 10.1per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 30.5 yearssex ratio at birth 106.5
Women in Gibraltar are projected to live 5.1 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 49 to 8.0 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #138 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 30.5 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Gibraltar
The median age of 38.8 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.88 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 83.9 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 40,867 | #216 | Largest first |
| Median age | 38.8 years | #77 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.88 | #120 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | +1.7% | #56 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 83.9 years | #15 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 18.1% | #61 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Gibraltar
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30–34 | 2,813 | 6.9% | 1.4K / 1.4K |
| 2 | 25–29 | 2,764 | 6.8% | 1.4K / 1.3K |
| 3 | 40–44 | 2,732 | 6.7% | 1.4K / 1.4K |
| 4 | 45–49 | 2,717 | 6.6% | 1.4K / 1.3K |
| 5 | 35–39 | 2,703 | 6.6% | 1.3K / 1.4K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Gibraltar has 20,334 males and 20,533 females. That is 99.0 males per 100 females, ranking #96 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 49.8% of the population and females for 50.2%. There are 199 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 86.3 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 106.5 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Gibraltar has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 21,656 in 1950 to 40,867 in 2026, a change of 89%. Over the same span, median age moved from 30.5 to 38.8 years.
The under-15 share changed from 23.6% to 17.6%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 7.1% to 18.1%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Gibraltar’s population is projected to grow by about 22%, reaching 49,798 in 2050. The median age changes from 38.8 to 43.2 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 6.1 percentage points to 24.2%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 16.1%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 51,282 in 2070. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 21,656 | 30.5 | 2.68 | 65.1 | 522 | 209 | −582 | -1.2% |
| 1960 | 21,839 | 31.7 | 3.10 | 70.2 | 488 | 182 | −338 | -0.1% |
| 1970 | 26,634 | 29.5 | 2.95 | 71.9 | 580 | 202 | +108 | +1.9% |
| 1980 | 28,676 | 30.7 | 2.57 | 73.8 | 565 | 216 | −259 | +0.3% |
| 1990 | 27,200 | 34.4 | 2.39 | 76.8 | 466 | 207 | −621 | -1.3% |
| 2000 | 27,709 | 36.8 | 2.18 | 80.1 | 408 | 206 | −204 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 31,248 | 38.4 | 1.95 | 82.1 | 392 | 219 | +255 | +1.4% |
| 2020 | 36,173 | 39.1 | 1.91 | 83.1 | 434 | 249 | +514 | +1.9% |
| 2023 | 38,471 | 38.9 | 1.89 | 83.6 | 464 | 250 | +689 | +2.3% |
| 2024* | 39,329 | 38.8 | 1.89 | 83.6 | 480 | 259 | +598 | +2.1% |
| 2026* | 40,867 | 38.8 | 1.88 | 83.9 | 502 | 275 | +480 | +1.7% |
| 2030* | 43,459 | 39.0 | 1.86 | 84.4 | 533 | 307 | +361 | +1.3% |
| 2040* | 47,822 | 40.7 | 1.83 | 85.6 | 534 | 385 | +139 | +0.6% |
| 2050* | 49,798 | 43.2 | 1.81 | 86.8 | 503 | 447 | +73 | +0.3% |
| 2060* | 50,896 | 44.8 | 1.79 | 88.0 | 521 | 493 | +25 | +0.1% |
| 2070* | 51,282 | 45.6 | 1.78 | 89.1 | 498 | 524 | +29 | -0.0% |
| 2080* | 50,982 | 47.2 | 1.77 | 90.2 | 463 | 548 | +32 | -0.1% |
| 2090* | 50,172 | 48.6 | 1.76 | 91.3 | 452 | 568 | +25 | -0.2% |
| 2100* | 49,261 | 49.0 | 1.74 | 92.4 | 436 | 564 | +23 | -0.2% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 1,287 | 1,218 | 2,505 | 6.1% |
| 5–9 | 1,176 | 1,109 | 2,285 | 5.6% |
| 10–14 | 1,241 | 1,149 | 2,390 | 5.8% |
| 15–19 | 1,238 | 1,201 | 2,439 | 6.0% |
| 20–24 | 1,323 | 1,312 | 2,635 | 6.4% |
| 25–29 | 1,421 | 1,343 | 2,764 | 6.8% |
| 30–34 | 1,422 | 1,391 | 2,813 | 6.9% |
| 35–39 | 1,334 | 1,369 | 2,703 | 6.6% |
| 40–44 | 1,371 | 1,361 | 2,732 | 6.7% |
| 45–49 | 1,374 | 1,343 | 2,717 | 6.6% |
| 50–54 | 1,290 | 1,295 | 2,585 | 6.3% |
| 55–59 | 1,208 | 1,248 | 2,456 | 6.0% |
| 60–64 | 1,226 | 1,225 | 2,451 | 6.0% |
| 65–69 | 1,002 | 1,076 | 2,078 | 5.1% |
| 70–74 | 867 | 888 | 1,755 | 4.3% |
| 75–79 | 764 | 802 | 1,566 | 3.8% |
| 80–84 | 438 | 567 | 1,005 | 2.5% |
| 85–89 | 235 | 358 | 593 | 1.5% |
| 90–94 | 94 | 191 | 285 | 0.7% |
| 95–99 | 23 | 72 | 95 | 0.2% |
| 100+ | 3 | 18 | 21 | 0.1% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Gibraltar’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Australia98% overlap · median age 38.5
- New Zealand97% overlap · median age 38.0
- United States97% overlap · median age 38.7
- Norway97% overlap · median age 40.1
- United Kingdom97% overlap · median age 40.2
- Iceland96% overlap · median age 36.6
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Gibraltar.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Gibraltar Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/gibraltar/
MLA
“Gibraltar Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/gibraltar/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “Gibraltar Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/gibraltar/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Gibraltar in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Gibraltar's population in 2026 is projected at 40,867.
What is the median age in Gibraltar?
The projected median age in Gibraltar in 2026 is 38.8 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Gibraltar?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.88 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Gibraltar's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will grow by about 22%, from 40.9K to 49.8K.
What share of Gibraltar is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 18.1% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 24.2%.
How many babies are born in Gibraltar each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 502 births and 275 deaths in 2026, about 1 births a day. Births exceed deaths by 227.
What is life expectancy in Gibraltar for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 86.4 years for women and 81.3 years for men, a gap of 5.1 years in favour of women.
Does Gibraltar have more immigrants or emigrants?
Gibraltar is projected to gain about 480 more people through migration than it loses in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of +7,238.
What is the sex ratio in Gibraltar?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 99.0 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.