Sint Maarten (Dutch part) population pyramid 2026
Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean
44,447 people in 2026 (projected). Sint Maarten grew thirtyfold after 1950 through tourism-led immigration, and that arrival generation now forms the pyramid’s widest bands, at 50–64.
- 2026 population
- 44.4Krank 214 of 237
- Median age
- 42.0 yearsoldest rank 46
- Fertility rate
- 1.42births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older15.1% age 65+
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 14.5% of the population, while 15.1% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 70.4% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Sint Maarten (Dutch part)’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 42.0: about 42 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (20.6 children and 21.4 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Sint Maarten (Dutch part)’s population pyramid
An island built by arrivals
In 1950 the Dutch part of Saint Martin had only about 1,450 inhabitants, and women outnumbered men roughly two to one in middle age, a pattern often attributed to men leaving to work in the oil refineries of Aruba and Curaçao. The growth of tourism from the 1960s reversed the flow. The UN estimates net immigration of about 17,000 between 1950 and 1999, and by 2000 the population had passed 30,000, with the widest bands at ages 30–44, the cohorts born about 1956–70.
That arrival generation has aged in place and now forms the widest bands at 50–64. Women outnumber men at most adult ages, with about 82 men per 100 women at 40–44.
Small numbers, sharp swings
With about 44,000 people, each five-year band holds only a few thousand, and single events show up clearly. The 5–9 band, born about 2017–21, is about 16% smaller than its neighbours; that period included Hurricane Irma, which devastated the island in 2017, and the COVID-19 pandemic, though the chart alone cannot show how much of the gap reflects fewer births and how much reflects families leaving. The guide to counts and percentages explains why such notches stand out in small populations.
Births and deaths are now roughly equal, and deaths are projected to exceed births from 2028, so growth depends on migration. The profile is closest to those of Thailand, Cuba and Aruba; the northern half of the island has its own page under Saint Martin (French part).
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.
| Age band in 2026 | Born about | Feature | Versus neighbouring bands |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5–9 | 2017–2021 | Notch (smaller cohort) | −16% |
| 15–19 | 2007–2011 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +11% |
Births outnumber deaths in 2026; the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2028. People aged 65 and older came to outnumber children under 15 between 2025 and 2026.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Sint Maarten (Dutch part) is projected to record 398 births (about 1 births a day) and 386 deaths, a natural increase of 12. Net migration adds +485 people, ranking #9 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 10,660 births, 4,805 deaths, and cumulative net migration of +6,327. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of +9,641 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 79.9 years63.6 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 74.2 years60.5 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 16.7 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 11.7per 1,000 births · 62 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 13.6per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 29.1 yearssex ratio at birth 103.9
Women in Sint Maarten (Dutch part) are projected to live 5.7 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 62 to 11.7 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #96 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 29.1 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Sint Maarten (Dutch part)
The median age of 42.0 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.42 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 76.9 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 44,447 | #214 | Largest first |
| Median age | 42.0 years | #46 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.42 | #190 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | +1.1% | #88 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 76.9 years | #105 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 15.1% | #83 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Sint Maarten (Dutch part)
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55–59 | 3,771 | 8.5% | 1.8K / 2K |
| 2 | 60–64 | 3,618 | 8.1% | 1.7K / 1.9K |
| 3 | 50–54 | 3,556 | 8.0% | 1.7K / 1.9K |
| 4 | 45–49 | 3,292 | 7.4% | 1.5K / 1.7K |
| 5 | 40–44 | 3,278 | 7.4% | 1.5K / 1.8K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Sint Maarten (Dutch part) has 21,566 males and 22,881 females. That is 94.3 males per 100 females, ranking #187 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 48.5% of the population and females for 51.5%. There are 1,315 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 94.6 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 103.9 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Sint Maarten (Dutch part) has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 1,450 in 1950 to 44,447 in 2026, a change of 2965%. Over the same span, median age moved from 26.7 to 42.0 years.
The under-15 share changed from 32.4% to 14.5%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 12.1% to 15.1%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Sint Maarten (Dutch part)’s population is projected to grow by about 15%, reaching 51,016 in 2050. The median age changes from 42.0 to 43.8 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 9.0 percentage points to 24.1%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 13.9%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 51,016 in 2049. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 1,450 | 26.7 | 5.26 | 62.4 | 56 | 24 | +60 | +7.2% |
| 1960 | 2,715 | 18.6 | 4.77 | 66.4 | 77 | 29 | +180 | +8.4% |
| 1970 | 6,414 | 19.6 | 3.48 | 70.9 | 179 | 34 | +321 | +7.4% |
| 1980 | 12,410 | 23.4 | 2.59 | 71.8 | 344 | 53 | +409 | +5.5% |
| 1990 | 28,061 | 26.5 | 1.85 | 72.4 | 584 | 99 | +1,453 | +6.9% |
| 2000 | 30,773 | 30.5 | 1.98 | 74.4 | 540 | 116 | −618 | -0.6% |
| 2010 | 33,794 | 34.4 | 1.85 | 74.8 | 462 | 169 | −24 | +0.8% |
| 2020 | 41,008 | 40.3 | 1.47 | 75.0 | 400 | 324 | +519 | +1.5% |
| 2023 | 42,749 | 41.6 | 1.45 | 76.4 | 390 | 347 | +567 | +1.4% |
| 2024* | 43,350 | 41.7 | 1.44 | 76.5 | 394 | 360 | +558 | +1.4% |
| 2026* | 44,447 | 42.0 | 1.42 | 76.9 | 398 | 386 | +485 | +1.1% |
| 2030* | 46,330 | 42.6 | 1.41 | 77.5 | 414 | 440 | +453 | +0.9% |
| 2040* | 49,730 | 43.1 | 1.43 | 79.1 | 438 | 570 | +401 | +0.5% |
| 2050* | 51,016 | 43.8 | 1.46 | 80.7 | 417 | 657 | +268 | +0.0% |
| 2060* | 50,395 | 46.2 | 1.48 | 82.1 | 418 | 666 | +171 | -0.1% |
| 2070* | 49,144 | 47.2 | 1.49 | 83.4 | 401 | 635 | +106 | -0.2% |
| 2080* | 47,432 | 48.7 | 1.50 | 84.6 | 366 | 624 | +69 | -0.4% |
| 2090* | 45,176 | 50.2 | 1.51 | 85.8 | 343 | 635 | +29 | -0.6% |
| 2100* | 42,278 | 51.0 | 1.53 | 86.9 | 321 | 637 | +5 | -0.7% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 1,044 | 999 | 2,043 | 4.6% |
| 5–9 | 1,049 | 863 | 1,912 | 4.3% |
| 10–14 | 1,347 | 1,145 | 2,492 | 5.6% |
| 15–19 | 1,528 | 1,340 | 2,868 | 6.5% |
| 20–24 | 1,351 | 1,311 | 2,662 | 6.0% |
| 25–29 | 1,165 | 1,274 | 2,439 | 5.5% |
| 30–34 | 1,284 | 1,465 | 2,749 | 6.2% |
| 35–39 | 1,365 | 1,712 | 3,077 | 6.9% |
| 40–44 | 1,479 | 1,799 | 3,278 | 7.4% |
| 45–49 | 1,548 | 1,744 | 3,292 | 7.4% |
| 50–54 | 1,675 | 1,881 | 3,556 | 8.0% |
| 55–59 | 1,752 | 2,019 | 3,771 | 8.5% |
| 60–64 | 1,728 | 1,890 | 3,618 | 8.1% |
| 65–69 | 1,284 | 1,331 | 2,615 | 5.9% |
| 70–74 | 958 | 1,022 | 1,980 | 4.5% |
| 75–79 | 629 | 624 | 1,253 | 2.8% |
| 80–84 | 279 | 300 | 579 | 1.3% |
| 85–89 | 83 | 116 | 199 | 0.4% |
| 90–94 | 19 | 39 | 58 | 0.1% |
| 95–99 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0.0% |
| 100+ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Sint Maarten (Dutch part)’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Thailand95% overlap · median age 41.0
- Cuba95% overlap · median age 42.5
- Jersey95% overlap · median age 43.9
- China95% overlap · median age 40.6
- Aruba94% overlap · median age 41.7
- Andorra94% overlap · median age 44.2
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Sint Maarten (Dutch part).
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World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Sint Maarten (Dutch part) Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/sint-maarten-dutch-part/
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“Sint Maarten (Dutch part) Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/sint-maarten-dutch-part/.
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World Population Pyramid. “Sint Maarten (Dutch part) Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/sint-maarten-dutch-part/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Sint Maarten (Dutch part) in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Sint Maarten (Dutch part)'s population in 2026 is projected at 44,447.
What is the median age in Sint Maarten (Dutch part)?
The projected median age in Sint Maarten (Dutch part) in 2026 is 42.0 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Sint Maarten (Dutch part)?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.42 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Sint Maarten (Dutch part)'s population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will grow by about 15%, from 44.4K to 51K.
What share of Sint Maarten (Dutch part) is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 15.1% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 24.1%.
How many babies are born in Sint Maarten (Dutch part) each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 398 births and 386 deaths in 2026, about 1 births a day. Births exceed deaths by 12.
What is life expectancy in Sint Maarten (Dutch part) for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 79.9 years for women and 74.2 years for men, a gap of 5.7 years in favour of women.
Does Sint Maarten (Dutch part) have more immigrants or emigrants?
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) is projected to gain about 485 more people through migration than it loses in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of +6,327.
What is the sex ratio in Sint Maarten (Dutch part)?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 94.3 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.