Uzbekistan population pyramid 2026

Asia · Central Asia

37,724,223 people in 2026 (projected). Uzbekistan’s pyramid has a pinched waist at ages 20–24, born as fertility fell in the early 2000s, beneath a base widened again by a rebound in births.

2026 population
37.7Mrank 43 of 237
Median age
27.0 yearsoldest rank 157
Fertility rate
3.40births per woman · above replacement
Structure
Transitional6.3% age 65+

Uzbekistan population pyramid

2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex

Medium projection

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2026

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Estimate or projection?

The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.

Uzbekistan age distribution in 2026

Children under 15 account for 31.5% of the population, while 6.3% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 62.3% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Uzbekistan’s age structure as transitional; the guide to population pyramid types explains what that shape implies.

The total age dependency ratio is 60.6: about 61 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (50.5 children and 10.1 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.

What shapes Uzbekistan’s population pyramid

Early twentieth-century scars

The Uzbekistan 1950 pyramid is unusually irregular for a young population. Ages 5–9, the children born during the Second World War, form a deep notch, and the 25–34 bands, born roughly 1916–25, are narrower still, with far fewer men than women. Those birth years coincided with the 1916 uprising in Central Asia, civil war and famine, while the shortage of adult men in 1950 is consistent with wartime military losses. By 1975 both deficits had moved up the pyramid, to ages 30–34 and 50–59.

Fertility fell, then rose again

Fertility fell steeply in the late Soviet period and after independence in 1991, from about 6.3 children per woman in 1970 to 2.7 in 2000 and 2.4 in 2010. By 2000 the base had begun to contract, with fewer children aged 0–4 than 5–9. The small cohorts born in 2002–06 now form the main notch in the 2026 pyramid, where the 20–24 band is about 11% smaller than its neighbours. Above it, the large cohorts born in the late 1980s and early 1990s form a bulge at ages 30–39.

Unusually, fertility then rose again, to about 3.5 in 2023. Part of the renewed width at ages 0–9 reflects those large early-1990s cohorts reaching the peak childbearing ages, and part reflects more children per woman; the pyramid alone cannot explain why fertility rose. Births in 2026, about 894,000, are nearly four times the number of deaths.

Men, women and migration

Men slightly outnumber women up to about age 50, starting from about 108 boys per 100 girls at ages 0–4, a little above the usual biological level. From the fifties the balance reverses, falling to 74 men per 100 women at 70–74, as men live about six years less than women. Net migration was positive in the Soviet era, about +490,000 over 1950–99, and turned negative after independence, with roughly 577,000 more departures than arrivals in 2000–23, a period of emigration by ethnic Russians and other minorities and of large-scale labour migration, much of it to Russia.

Under the medium scenario the population rises from about 38 million in 2026 to 52 million in 2050 and is still growing in 2100, at about 74 million (see the population peak year ranking). Today’s notch and bulge will move upward, leaving a trough at 45–49 between wider bands at 25–29 and 55–59 in the Uzbekistan 2050 pyramid. Turkmenistan, Cambodia and Paraguay have the most similar age structures in 2026.

What to notice across the years

Uzbekistan population pyramid 1950 (historical estimate)
1950. Ages 5–9, born during the Second World War, form a deep notch, and men aged 25–34 are far fewer than women of the same ages.
Uzbekistan population pyramid 2000 (historical estimate)
2000. The base is contracting: the 0–4 band is smaller than both the 5–9 and 10–14 bands as fertility fell towards 2.7.
Uzbekistan population pyramid 2026 (UN medium projection)
2026. A notch at 20–24 sits between a bulge at 30–39 and a broad, renewed base at ages 0–9.

Distinctive cohorts and turning points

Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.

Five-year age bands in Uzbekistan that are markedly larger or smaller than both neighbouring bands, 2026
Age band in 2026Born aboutFeatureVersus neighbouring bands
20–242002–2006Notch (smaller cohort)−11%

In the UN medium scenario births outnumber deaths in every year through 2100. People aged 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 15 by 2100.

Births, deaths, and migration

A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Uzbekistan is projected to record 894,379 births (about one birth every 35 seconds) and 228,605 deaths, a natural increase of 665,774. Net migration adds −4,517 people, ranking #107 in the net migration rate ranking.

Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 16,399,193 births, 4,449,782 deaths, and cumulative net migration of −576,715. Over that period the balance of births and deaths moved the total more than migration did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of −82,722 between 2026 and 2050.

Uzbekistan: births, deaths, and net migration per year
Projection → -250K0250K500K750K1M 1950197520002025205020752100 BirthsDeathsNet migration

Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.

Life expectancy and mortality

Life expectancy, women
75.8 years55.3 in 1950
Life expectancy, men
69.8 years51.4 in 1950
Further years at 65
15.2 yearsboth sexes
Infant mortality
11.6per 1,000 births · 124 in 1950
Under-five mortality
14.0per 1,000 births
Mother’s mean age at birth
27.1 yearssex ratio at birth 107.7

Women in Uzbekistan are projected to live 6.0 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 124 to 11.6 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #97 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 27.1 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.

Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Uzbekistan

The median age of 27.0 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 3.40 births per woman is above the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 72.8 years.

These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.

Indicator2026 valueGlobal rankRanking direction
Population37,724,223#43Largest first
Median age27.0 years#157Oldest first
Fertility rate3.40#46Highest first
Annual growth+1.8%#54Fastest first
Life expectancy72.8 years#151Highest first
Population aged 65+6.3%#155Highest share first

Largest age groups in Uzbekistan

The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.

RankAge groupPopulationShare of totalMale / female
10–44,551,63812.1%2.4M / 2.2M
25–93,940,63410.4%2M / 1.9M
310–143,375,0558.9%1.7M / 1.6M
430–343,056,6098.1%1.6M / 1.5M
515–192,983,3217.9%1.5M / 1.4M

Sex ratio and the balance by age

In the 2026 projection, Uzbekistan has 19,033,056 males and 18,691,166 females. That is 101.8 males per 100 females, ranking #47 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.

Males account for 50.5% of the population and females for 49.5%. There are 341,890 more males than females overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 72.0 males per 100 females.

The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.

At birth, 107.7 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, above the biological norm of about 105 (see the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.

How Uzbekistan has changed since 1950

The population has increased from 6,239,904 in 1950 to 37,724,223 in 2026, a change of 505%. Over the same span, median age moved from 22.7 to 27.0 years.

The under-15 share changed from 31.1% to 31.5%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 5.9% to 6.3%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately. See the Uzbekistan population pyramid in 1950 for the full starting shape.

How the population could change by 2050

Under the UN medium scenario, Uzbekistan’s population is projected to grow by about 38%, reaching 52,210,755 in 2050. The median age changes from 27.0 to 28.2 years.

The 65+ share is projected to rise by 4.1 percentage points to 10.4%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 26.7%. The Uzbekistan population pyramid for 2050 shows the projected shape in detail. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.

The population is still rising at the end of the UN medium projection in 2100, when it reaches 74,350,006. The page therefore does not assign a peak year beyond the available horizon.

Population trend: 1950–2100

Uzbekistan population, 1950–2100
Projection → 020M40M60M80M 1950197520002025205020752100 74.4M

Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.

Selected demographic indicators for Uzbekistan, 1950 to 2100
YearPopulationMedian ageFertilityLife exp.BirthsDeathsNet migrationGrowth
19506,239,90422.75.1753.3237,61798,690+4,882+2.3%
19608,209,10921.26.6156.5393,423126,254+22,039+3.5%
197011,762,63816.76.3160.1447,578134,362+37,324+3.0%
198015,619,93617.95.0463.0543,816142,271+8,540+2.6%
199020,464,95618.94.1265.8690,007149,425−73,478+2.3%
200024,787,05420.32.7065.5538,800173,652−66,547+1.2%
201028,385,50623.62.4469.8637,218175,945−20,380+1.6%
202033,586,37226.63.0671.5860,945217,204−9,208+1.9%
202335,652,30726.93.5072.4943,547221,249−6,004+2.0%
2024*36,361,85927.03.4972.5929,292219,423−7,066+1.9%
2026*37,724,22327.03.4072.8894,379228,605−4,517+1.8%
2030*40,248,24126.83.2273.3859,689249,210−2,154+1.5%
2040*46,044,15226.92.8474.6905,510316,169−2,887+1.3%
2050*52,210,75528.22.5576.0996,583382,527−3,031+1.2%
2060*57,938,04830.52.3477.4967,368439,179−990+0.9%
2070*62,817,01432.12.2078.9961,721499,186−2,105+0.7%
2080*67,288,83834.12.0980.3966,175535,950−2,481+0.6%
2090*71,281,03036.62.0081.7921,198557,791−3,937+0.5%
2100*74,350,00639.01.9483.0887,287631,528−7,649+0.3%

* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.

Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)

2026 population by age and sex

The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.

Uzbekistan population by age and sex in 2026
Age groupMaleFemaleTotalShare
0–42,358,3022,193,3364,551,63812.1%
5–92,044,8701,895,7643,940,63410.4%
10–141,747,2191,627,8363,375,0558.9%
15–191,535,1511,448,1702,983,3217.9%
20–241,274,1081,212,5912,486,6996.6%
25–291,338,1321,279,7312,617,8636.9%
30–341,562,8281,493,7813,056,6098.1%
35–391,522,2211,458,4942,980,7157.9%
40–441,314,2111,272,3032,586,5146.9%
45–491,046,0541,026,6002,072,6545.5%
50–54893,999899,5571,793,5564.8%
55–59746,865778,0121,524,8774.0%
60–64655,976724,8071,380,7833.7%
65–69468,807565,0061,033,8132.7%
70–74286,520388,019674,5391.8%
75–79140,369219,249359,6181.0%
80–8462,345111,020173,3650.5%
85–8927,15469,52696,6800.3%
90–946,85423,22930,0830.1%
95–991,0303,8864,9160.0%
100+422512930.0%

Countries with the most similar age structure

These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Uzbekistan’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.

To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Uzbekistan.

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Charts and tables may be reused with attribution. Please link to this page and credit the United Nations as the data source.

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APA

World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Uzbekistan Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/uzbekistan/

MLA

“Uzbekistan Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/uzbekistan/.

Chicago

World Population Pyramid. “Uzbekistan Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/uzbekistan/.

Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.

Frequently asked questions

What is the population of Uzbekistan in 2026?

Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Uzbekistan's population in 2026 is projected at 37,724,223.

What is the median age in Uzbekistan?

The projected median age in Uzbekistan in 2026 is 27.0 years: half the population is younger and half is older.

What is the fertility rate in Uzbekistan?

The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 3.40 births per woman, above the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.

Is Uzbekistan's population projected to grow?

Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will grow by about 38%, from 37.7M to 52.2M.

What share of Uzbekistan is aged 65 or older?

In 2026, 6.3% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 10.4%.

How many babies are born in Uzbekistan each year?

The UN medium scenario projects 894,379 births and 228,605 deaths in 2026, about one birth every 35 seconds. Births exceed deaths by 665,774.

What is life expectancy in Uzbekistan for men and women?

Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 75.8 years for women and 69.8 years for men, a gap of 6.0 years in favour of women.

Does Uzbekistan have more immigrants or emigrants?

Uzbekistan is projected to lose about 4,517 more people through emigration than it gains in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of −576,715.

What is the sex ratio in Uzbekistan?

The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 101.8 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.

Sources and notes