Dominica population pyramid 2026
Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean
65,511 people in 2026 (projected). Dominica’s population peaked in 1980; emigration hollowed out its adult ages for decades, and today the base of its jagged pyramid is the narrowest part below 65.
- 2026 population
- 65.5Krank 206 of 237
- Median age
- 36.6 yearsoldest rank 97
- Fertility rate
- 1.46births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older13.5% age 65+
Dominica population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Dominica age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 17.4% of the population, while 13.5% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 69.2% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Dominica’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 44.6: about 45 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (25.1 children and 19.5 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Dominica’s population pyramid
An island of emigrants
Dominica has fewer people today, about 65,500, than it did in 1975. The UN series records a net outflow of about 44,000 people between 1950 and 1999, a huge figure for an island that never had more than about 73,000 inhabitants. Like much of the Eastern Caribbean, Dominica sent large numbers of young adults to the United Kingdom in the 1950s and 1960s and later to North America and neighbouring islands. The 1975 pyramid shows the effect: a wide base of children above which each adult band from 30 to 64 is only about a quarter of the width of the 5–9 band or less, with women outnumbering men in nearly all of them.
Small numbers, sharp edges
Below age 65 each five-year band now holds only about 3,500–5,400 people, so the outline is uneven. In 2026 the 30–34 band (born about 1992–96) and the 55–59 band (born about 1967–71) stand out as bulges, with a notch at 45–49 between them. Such features can reflect real swings in births and departures, including those after severe hurricanes such as David in 1979 and Maria in 2017, but in a population this size a few hundred migrants are enough to create them. The same caution applies to rates: with only about 700 births a year, the estimated rise in infant mortality since 2000 rests on fewer than twenty infant deaths a year. The guide to counts versus percentages explains how to read such small pyramids.
Fertility has fallen to about 1.5 children per woman, deaths have outnumbered births since 2017, and the base is now the narrowest part of the pyramid below 65. The structure resembles Antigua and Barbuda and the Bahamas, and the medium scenario projects a slow decline to about 63,000 by 2050.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.
| Age band in 2026 | Born about | Feature | Versus neighbouring bands |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55–59 | 1967–1971 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +13% |
| 45–49 | 1977–1981 | Notch (smaller cohort) | −13% |
| 30–34 | 1992–1996 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +11% |
Deaths have exceeded births every year since 2017. People aged 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 15 by 2035.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Dominica is projected to record 700 births (about 2 births a day) and 815 deaths, a natural decrease of 115. Net migration adds −241 people, ranking #206 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 22,788 births, 18,604 deaths, and cumulative net migration of −6,544. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of +2,353 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 75.1 years46.0 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 68.6 years43.1 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 14.4 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 25.1per 1,000 births · 159 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 29.7per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 28.2 yearssex ratio at birth 103.5
Women in Dominica are projected to live 6.5 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 159 to 25.1 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #53 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 28.2 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Dominica
The median age of 36.6 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.46 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 71.6 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 65,511 | #206 | Largest first |
| Median age | 36.6 years | #97 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.46 | #179 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | -0.5% | #207 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 71.6 years | #165 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 13.5% | #90 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Dominica
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30–34 | 5,423 | 8.3% | 2.7K / 2.7K |
| 2 | 35–39 | 5,192 | 7.9% | 2.6K / 2.6K |
| 3 | 40–44 | 4,832 | 7.4% | 2.4K / 2.4K |
| 4 | 55–59 | 4,637 | 7.1% | 2.3K / 2.3K |
| 5 | 25–29 | 4,565 | 7.0% | 2.3K / 2.3K |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Dominica has 32,670 males and 32,840 females. That is 99.5 males per 100 females, ranking #83 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 49.9% of the population and females for 50.1%. There are 170 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 90.9 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 103.5 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Dominica has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 50,196 in 1950 to 65,511 in 2026, a change of 31%. Over the same span, median age moved from 17.6 to 36.6 years.
The under-15 share changed from 43.5% to 17.4%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 7.7% to 13.5%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Dominica’s population is projected to decline by about 4%, reaching 63,192 in 2050. The median age changes from 36.6 to 42.1 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 5.1 percentage points to 18.6%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 14.9%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest estimated population of 73,083 in 1980. Historical population totals are estimates rather than exact head counts. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 50,196 | 17.6 | 5.24 | 44.5 | 1,778 | 1,181 | −420 | +0.3% |
| 1960 | 59,372 | 16.8 | 6.18 | 60.1 | 2,507 | 788 | −759 | +1.6% |
| 1970 | 68,908 | 14.6 | 5.21 | 66.2 | 2,200 | 625 | −847 | +1.1% |
| 1980 | 73,083 | 17.5 | 3.03 | 71.0 | 1,616 | 526 | −1,035 | +0.1% |
| 1990 | 69,627 | 21.8 | 3.09 | 70.5 | 1,808 | 669 | −1,722 | -0.8% |
| 2000 | 68,511 | 26.7 | 2.35 | 71.7 | 1,228 | 667 | −973 | -0.6% |
| 2010 | 68,859 | 30.4 | 1.89 | 71.7 | 963 | 793 | −206 | -0.1% |
| 2020 | 67,573 | 34.4 | 1.50 | 71.3 | 771 | 859 | −225 | -0.5% |
| 2023 | 66,510 | 35.6 | 1.48 | 71.1 | 738 | 849 | −199 | -0.5% |
| 2024* | 66,205 | 35.9 | 1.48 | 71.3 | 727 | 836 | −200 | -0.5% |
| 2026* | 65,511 | 36.6 | 1.46 | 71.6 | 700 | 815 | −241 | -0.5% |
| 2030* | 64,169 | 38.2 | 1.46 | 72.3 | 653 | 798 | −129 | -0.4% |
| 2040* | 63,799 | 41.0 | 1.47 | 73.9 | 624 | 832 | +210 | +0.0% |
| 2050* | 63,192 | 42.1 | 1.50 | 75.4 | 585 | 864 | +154 | -0.2% |
| 2060* | 61,428 | 44.2 | 1.51 | 76.9 | 538 | 856 | +98 | -0.4% |
| 2070* | 58,964 | 45.6 | 1.53 | 78.4 | 516 | 859 | +49 | -0.5% |
| 2080* | 55,841 | 46.3 | 1.54 | 79.9 | 477 | 847 | +53 | -0.6% |
| 2090* | 52,568 | 47.1 | 1.54 | 81.3 | 439 | 793 | −4 | -0.7% |
| 2100* | 49,110 | 48.0 | 1.56 | 82.6 | 408 | 749 | −42 | -0.8% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 1,769 | 1,712 | 3,481 | 5.3% |
| 5–9 | 1,871 | 1,832 | 3,703 | 5.7% |
| 10–14 | 2,094 | 2,106 | 4,200 | 6.4% |
| 15–19 | 2,085 | 2,222 | 4,307 | 6.6% |
| 20–24 | 2,112 | 2,143 | 4,255 | 6.5% |
| 25–29 | 2,300 | 2,265 | 4,565 | 7.0% |
| 30–34 | 2,723 | 2,700 | 5,423 | 8.3% |
| 35–39 | 2,595 | 2,597 | 5,192 | 7.9% |
| 40–44 | 2,446 | 2,386 | 4,832 | 7.4% |
| 45–49 | 2,025 | 1,879 | 3,904 | 6.0% |
| 50–54 | 2,094 | 2,047 | 4,141 | 6.3% |
| 55–59 | 2,329 | 2,308 | 4,637 | 7.1% |
| 60–64 | 2,031 | 2,025 | 4,056 | 6.2% |
| 65–69 | 1,689 | 1,633 | 3,322 | 5.1% |
| 70–74 | 1,148 | 1,194 | 2,342 | 3.6% |
| 75–79 | 728 | 814 | 1,542 | 2.4% |
| 80–84 | 394 | 530 | 924 | 1.4% |
| 85–89 | 169 | 296 | 465 | 0.7% |
| 90–94 | 58 | 122 | 180 | 0.3% |
| 95–99 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 0.1% |
| 100+ | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Dominica’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Antigua and Barbuda97% overlap · median age 36.7
- Bahamas96% overlap · median age 35.7
- Chile96% overlap · median age 37.4
- Costa Rica96% overlap · median age 35.7
- North Korea96% overlap · median age 36.8
- French Polynesia96% overlap · median age 36.7
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Dominica.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Dominica Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/dominica/
MLA
“Dominica Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/dominica/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “Dominica Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/dominica/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Dominica in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Dominica's population in 2026 is projected at 65,511.
What is the median age in Dominica?
The projected median age in Dominica in 2026 is 36.6 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Dominica?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.46 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Dominica's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will decline by about 4%, from 65.5K to 63.2K.
What share of Dominica is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 13.5% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 18.6%.
How many babies are born in Dominica each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 700 births and 815 deaths in 2026, about 2 births a day. Deaths exceed births by 115.
What is life expectancy in Dominica for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 75.1 years for women and 68.6 years for men, a gap of 6.5 years in favour of women.
Does Dominica have more immigrants or emigrants?
Dominica is projected to lose about 241 more people through emigration than it gains in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of −6,544.
What is the sex ratio in Dominica?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 99.5 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.