Mexico population pyramid 2026
Latin America and the Caribbean · Central America
132,997,658 people in 2026 (projected). Mexico’s pyramid has a narrowing base and a clear shortfall of men aged 40–59, the imprint of decades of mostly male emigration to the United States.
- 2026 population
- 133Mrank 11 of 237
- Median age
- 30.0 yearsoldest rank 135
- Fertility rate
- 1.85births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Transitional8.8% age 65+
Mexico population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
Hover over or tap a bar to see exact values.
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Mexico age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 23.7% of the population, while 8.8% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 67.5% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Mexico’s age structure as transitional; the guide to population pyramid types explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 48.1: about 48 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (35.1 children and 13.0 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Mexico’s population pyramid
From a broad triangle to a tucked-in base
Through the 1970s Mexico had one of the most expansive pyramids in Latin America, with fertility of about six to seven children per woman. The 1974 General Population Law and the national family planning program that followed coincided with one of the fastest fertility declines in the region, to about 2.7 by 2000. The Mexico 2000 pyramid shows the turning point: ages 0–4 are no wider than ages 5–9, so annual births had stopped growing.
By 2026 the widest band is 15–19, people born in 2007–11, and the three bands below it each step inward. Fertility is now below replacement, at about 1.85 in the UN estimates. The large cohorts in their teens and twenties still produce many births, so the population keeps growing through momentum even as the base contracts.
Missing men in the middle years
The most distinctive feature of Mexico’s pyramid is a sex imbalance in adulthood. From about age 40 the female bars are clearly longer than the male bars: at ages 45–49 there are roughly 85 men for every 100 women, far below what normal mortality differences would produce at that age. These cohorts, born in 1967–86, came of age during the peak of migration to the United States, which ran from the 1980s to the mid-2000s and was predominantly male. The UN counts people where they live, so emigrants appear in the US pyramid instead, as the Mexico vs United States comparison makes clear. Higher male mortality, including from violence, adds to the gap. The general mechanics are covered in sex ratio and age structure, and the Brazil vs Mexico comparison shows a country with a similar fertility decline but far less emigration.
Under the UN medium scenario Mexico reaches about 149 million by 2050, close to its projected peak around 2060, with a median age near 39 and the widest bands at ages 30–49.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
No five-year band under age 80 is more than 10% larger or smaller than both of its neighbours, so Mexico’s 2026 pyramid has a comparatively smooth profile without sharp bulges or notches.
Births outnumber deaths in 2026; the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2062. People aged 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 15 by 2055.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Mexico is projected to record 1,989,217 births (about one birth every 16 seconds) and 844,430 deaths, a natural increase of 1,144,787. Net migration adds −109,844 people, ranking #147 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 53,904,996 births, 16,702,115 deaths, and cumulative net migration of −4,775,544. Over that period the balance of births and deaths moved the total more than migration did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of −2,596,496 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 78.4 years45.5 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 72.8 years42.3 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 17.9 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 9.7per 1,000 births · 158 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 11.7per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 26.8 yearssex ratio at birth 103.8
Women in Mexico are projected to live 5.6 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 158 to 9.7 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #116 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 26.8 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Mexico
The median age of 30.0 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.85 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 75.6 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 132,997,658 | #11 | Largest first |
| Median age | 30.0 years | #135 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.85 | #123 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | +0.8% | #115 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 75.6 years | #123 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 8.8% | #129 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Mexico
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15–19 | 11,160,985 | 8.4% | 5.7M / 5.5M |
| 2 | 20–24 | 11,083,443 | 8.3% | 5.6M / 5.5M |
| 3 | 10–14 | 11,067,957 | 8.3% | 5.6M / 5.4M |
| 4 | 25–29 | 10,684,609 | 8.0% | 5.3M / 5.4M |
| 5 | 30–34 | 10,421,118 | 7.8% | 5.1M / 5.3M |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Mexico has 64,488,398 males and 68,509,260 females. That is 94.1 males per 100 females, ranking #190 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 48.5% of the population and females for 51.5%. There are 4,020,862 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 80.2 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 103.8 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Mexico has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 27,587,939 in 1950 to 132,997,658 in 2026, a change of 382%. Over the same span, median age moved from 16.9 to 30.0 years.
The under-15 share changed from 44.2% to 23.7%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 3.0% to 8.8%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately. See the Mexico population pyramid in 1950 for the full starting shape.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Mexico’s population is projected to grow by about 12%, reaching 148,946,274 in 2050. The median age changes from 30.0 to 38.7 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 8.2 percentage points to 17.0%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 17.5%. The Mexico population pyramid for 2050 shows the projected shape in detail. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest projected population of 149,937,283 in 2058. That turning point depends on the medium scenario and may move in later revisions. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 27,587,939 | 16.9 | 6.71 | 43.8 | 1,358,501 | 596,770 | −48,982 | +2.6% |
| 1960 | 36,724,615 | 15.5 | 6.76 | 53.6 | 1,720,841 | 513,889 | −85,591 | +3.0% |
| 1970 | 50,814,953 | 15.0 | 6.53 | 58.9 | 2,262,194 | 508,813 | −164,100 | +3.1% |
| 1980 | 67,300,334 | 15.7 | 4.74 | 64.3 | 2,357,249 | 464,120 | −252,177 | +2.4% |
| 1990 | 82,820,170 | 18.7 | 3.44 | 69.0 | 2,436,563 | 510,110 | −321,764 | +1.9% |
| 2000 | 98,625,552 | 21.8 | 2.71 | 72.6 | 2,385,977 | 540,563 | −356,433 | +1.5% |
| 2010 | 113,623,895 | 24.8 | 2.34 | 73.7 | 2,310,124 | 651,365 | −40,845 | +1.4% |
| 2020 | 126,799,054 | 27.9 | 1.99 | 70.4 | 2,100,438 | 1,068,736 | −147,456 | +0.7% |
| 2023 | 129,739,759 | 28.9 | 1.91 | 75.1 | 2,037,689 | 799,366 | −101,044 | +0.9% |
| 2024* | 130,861,007 | 29.3 | 1.89 | 75.3 | 2,023,623 | 813,827 | −104,581 | +0.8% |
| 2026* | 132,997,658 | 30.0 | 1.85 | 75.6 | 1,989,217 | 844,430 | −109,844 | +0.8% |
| 2030* | 136,904,738 | 31.5 | 1.79 | 76.4 | 1,934,285 | 907,849 | −106,319 | +0.7% |
| 2040* | 144,624,324 | 35.1 | 1.73 | 78.1 | 1,805,699 | 1,089,360 | −106,910 | +0.4% |
| 2050* | 148,946,274 | 38.7 | 1.70 | 79.8 | 1,643,767 | 1,291,888 | −98,661 | +0.2% |
| 2060* | 149,893,286 | 42.0 | 1.69 | 81.5 | 1,513,356 | 1,471,501 | −95,031 | -0.0% |
| 2070* | 148,063,211 | 44.5 | 1.68 | 82.9 | 1,399,842 | 1,621,938 | −90,688 | -0.2% |
| 2080* | 143,798,332 | 46.5 | 1.67 | 84.3 | 1,282,855 | 1,738,825 | −80,370 | -0.4% |
| 2090* | 137,597,074 | 48.1 | 1.67 | 85.6 | 1,185,984 | 1,805,019 | −71,251 | -0.5% |
| 2100* | 130,248,836 | 49.2 | 1.67 | 86.8 | 1,098,210 | 1,793,460 | −64,427 | -0.6% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 5,101,127 | 4,923,324 | 10,024,451 | 7.5% |
| 5–9 | 5,284,792 | 5,101,419 | 10,386,211 | 7.8% |
| 10–14 | 5,630,447 | 5,437,510 | 11,067,957 | 8.3% |
| 15–19 | 5,667,921 | 5,493,064 | 11,160,985 | 8.4% |
| 20–24 | 5,595,326 | 5,488,117 | 11,083,443 | 8.3% |
| 25–29 | 5,331,208 | 5,353,401 | 10,684,609 | 8.0% |
| 30–34 | 5,107,150 | 5,313,968 | 10,421,118 | 7.8% |
| 35–39 | 4,730,459 | 5,081,360 | 9,811,819 | 7.4% |
| 40–44 | 4,167,958 | 4,750,038 | 8,917,996 | 6.7% |
| 45–49 | 3,707,697 | 4,417,380 | 8,125,077 | 6.1% |
| 50–54 | 3,430,564 | 4,085,188 | 7,515,752 | 5.7% |
| 55–59 | 3,023,552 | 3,576,736 | 6,600,288 | 5.0% |
| 60–64 | 2,498,329 | 2,988,512 | 5,486,841 | 4.1% |
| 65–69 | 1,934,969 | 2,348,604 | 4,283,573 | 3.2% |
| 70–74 | 1,384,166 | 1,716,805 | 3,100,971 | 2.3% |
| 75–79 | 920,564 | 1,182,893 | 2,103,457 | 1.6% |
| 80–84 | 553,066 | 726,401 | 1,279,467 | 1.0% |
| 85–89 | 283,673 | 367,877 | 651,550 | 0.5% |
| 90–94 | 105,917 | 128,303 | 234,220 | 0.2% |
| 95–99 | 25,895 | 25,633 | 51,528 | 0.0% |
| 100+ | 3,619 | 2,727 | 6,346 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Mexico’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Peru98% overlap · median age 30.5
- Ecuador98% overlap · median age 29.7
- Panama98% overlap · median age 30.6
- Myanmar98% overlap · median age 30.4
- India98% overlap · median age 29.2
- Dominican Republic98% overlap · median age 28.7
Compare Mexico with other countries
Side-by-side pages put two pyramids on the same percentage scale, with a full indicator table and the projected change to 2050.
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Mexico.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Mexico Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/mexico/
MLA
“Mexico Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/mexico/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “Mexico Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/mexico/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Mexico in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Mexico's population in 2026 is projected at 132,997,658.
What is the median age in Mexico?
The projected median age in Mexico in 2026 is 30.0 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Mexico?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.85 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Mexico's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will grow by about 12%, from 133M to 148.9M.
What share of Mexico is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 8.8% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 17.0%.
How many babies are born in Mexico each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 1,989,217 births and 844,430 deaths in 2026, about one birth every 16 seconds. Births exceed deaths by 1,144,787.
What is life expectancy in Mexico for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 78.4 years for women and 72.8 years for men, a gap of 5.6 years in favour of women.
Does Mexico have more immigrants or emigrants?
Mexico is projected to lose about 109,844 more people through emigration than it gains in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of −4,775,544.
What is the sex ratio in Mexico?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 94.1 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.