Wallis and Futuna Islands population pyramid 2026
11,113 people in 2026 (projected). Wallis and Futuna went from about seven children per woman to 1.4 in half a century, and emigration has cut its population by a quarter since 2003.
- 2026 population
- 11.1Krank 229 of 237
- Median age
- 38.6 yearsoldest rank 80
- Fertility rate
- 1.39births per woman · below replacement
- Structure
- Older15.8% age 65+
Wallis and Futuna Islands population pyramid
2026 · Share of total by five-year age group and sex
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The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.
Wallis and Futuna Islands age distribution in 2026
Children under 15 account for 18.3% of the population, while 15.8% are aged 65 or older. The remaining 65.9% are in the conventional working-age range of 15–64. On these shares, the site classifies Wallis and Futuna Islands’s age structure as older; the guide to constrictive population pyramids explains what that shape implies.
The total age dependency ratio is 51.8: about 52 people under 15 or 65+ for every 100 people aged 15–64 (27.8 children and 24.0 older people). This is an age-balance indicator, not a literal count of economic dependants per worker.
What shapes Wallis and Futuna Islands’s population pyramid
A rapid fall in births
This French Pacific territory had about 7 children per woman in 1970. By 2000 the rate had fallen to about 2.5 and by 2026 to about 1.4. The pyramid records this change clearly: in 1950 almost half the population was under 15, while in 2026 the youngest band, 0–4, holds fewer than half as many children as the 15–19 band. The median age has risen from about 14 in 1950 to about 39.
Emigration to New Caledonia
The population peaked at about 15,000 in 2003 and is about 11,100 in 2026. The UN estimates net emigration of about 6,000 people both before 2000 and between 2000 and 2023, much of it to New Caledonia, where a larger Wallisian and Futunan community now lives than in the islands themselves. Departures have hollowed out the young-adult bands: the 25–29 and 30–34 bands are only about half the size of the 15–19 band, and women outnumber men at every age from 25 to 69, with about 77 men per 100 women at 30–34. With only around 11,000 residents, no band holds much more than 1,000 people, so individual bulges, such as those at 15–19 and 50–54, should be read with caution.
Births and deaths are now almost equal, and deaths are projected to exceed births from 2027. Under the medium scenario the population falls to about 10,100 in 2050 and 6,900 in 2100, when the median age would be about 55. Its 2026 structure resembles those of Réunion, the Cook Islands, the Northern Mariana Islands, Saint Barthélemy and Niue.
What to notice across the years
Distinctive cohorts and turning points
Comparing each five-year band with its neighbours picks out the cohorts that break a smooth slope. These irregularities usually record past surges or deficits in births, or migration concentrated at particular ages; the pattern alone does not identify which. The guide to baby booms and echo cohorts explains how to date and interpret them.
| Age band in 2026 | Born about | Feature | Versus neighbouring bands |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–54 | 1972–1976 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +13% |
| 15–19 | 2007–2011 | Bulge (larger cohort) | +10% |
Births outnumber deaths in 2026; the medium scenario projects deaths to exceed births from 2027. People aged 65 and older are projected to outnumber children under 15 by 2030.
Births, deaths, and migration
A pyramid changes in only three ways: births add to the base, deaths remove people at every age, and migration adds or removes people mainly in young adulthood. In 2026, Wallis and Futuna Islands is projected to record 95 births (about 95 births a year) and 94 deaths, a natural increase of 1. Net migration adds −80 people, ranking #223 in the net migration rate ranking.
Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates 4,423 births, 1,842 deaths, and cumulative net migration of −5,973. Over that period migration moved the total more than the balance of births and deaths did. See how migration shapes a pyramid and birth rate versus fertility rate. The medium scenario assumes net migration of −792 between 2026 and 2050.
Annual values 1950–2100; dashed lines after 2023 are the UN medium projection. The trend table below lists the values by decade.
Life expectancy and mortality
- Life expectancy, women
- 80.0 years44.4 in 1950
- Life expectancy, men
- 78.1 years43.8 in 1950
- Further years at 65
- 18.4 yearsboth sexes
- Infant mortality
- 10.7per 1,000 births · 114 in 1950
- Under-five mortality
- 12.5per 1,000 births
- Mother’s mean age at birth
- 30.4 yearssex ratio at birth 104.8
Women in Wallis and Futuna Islands are projected to live 1.9 years longer than men, which is why the female side of the pyramid widens relative to the other at older ages (see the life expectancy gap ranking). Infant mortality has fallen from 114 to 10.7 deaths per 1,000 live births since 1950, ranking #105 of 237 in the infant mortality ranking (highest first). A mean age at childbearing of 30.4 years sets the spacing between generations, and so how far apart echo cohorts sit in the pyramid.
Median age, fertility rate, and global ranks for Wallis and Futuna Islands
The median age of 38.6 years splits the population into two equal halves. A total fertility rate of 1.39 births per woman is below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, and life expectancy at birth is 79.0 years.
These ranks compare all 237 countries and areas in this dataset using the same 2026 UN medium projection. Ranks use the stored source precision, so displayed rounding can make adjacent values look identical; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
| Indicator | 2026 value | Global rank | Ranking direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 11,113 | #229 | Largest first |
| Median age | 38.6 years | #80 | Oldest first |
| Fertility rate | 1.39 | #195 | Highest first |
| Annual growth | -0.7% | #218 | Fastest first |
| Life expectancy | 79.0 years | #71 | Highest first |
| Population aged 65+ | 15.8% | #78 | Highest share first |
Largest age groups in Wallis and Futuna Islands
The five largest cohorts identify where the 2026 population is concentrated. They can reflect past birth patterns, survival, and migration; the chart alone does not establish which cause dominates.
| Rank | Age group | Population | Share of total | Male / female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15–19 | 1,012 | 9.1% | 521 / 491 |
| 2 | 20–24 | 927 | 8.3% | 460 / 467 |
| 3 | 10–14 | 907 | 8.2% | 466 / 441 |
| 4 | 50–54 | 892 | 8.0% | 419 / 473 |
| 5 | 55–59 | 795 | 7.1% | 370 / 425 |
Sex ratio and the balance by age
In the 2026 projection, Wallis and Futuna Islands has 5,280 males and 5,832 females. That is 90.5 males per 100 females, ranking #215 when the dataset is ordered from the highest male-to-female ratio to the lowest.
Males account for 47.5% of the population and females for 52.5%. There are 552 more females than males overall. Among people aged 65 and older, the ratio is 89.1 males per 100 females.
The overall balance can conceal large differences by age; how sex ratios change with age explains the usual pattern. The ratio reflects the male/female categories in the UN source and is not a measure of gender identity. Compare all profiles in the sex-ratio ranking.
At birth, 104.8 boys are projected to be born for every 100 girls in 2026, close to the biological norm of about 105 (compare the sex ratio at birth ranking). The ratio at birth sets the balance at the base of the pyramid; how it changes with age then depends on survival and migration.
How Wallis and Futuna Islands has changed since 1950
The population has increased from 8,536 in 1950 to 11,113 in 2026, a change of 30%. Over the same span, median age moved from 14.4 to 38.6 years.
The under-15 share changed from 49.0% to 18.3%, while the share aged 65 and older changed from 1.8% to 15.8%. These shifts show why total population growth and age-structure change need to be read separately.
How the population could change by 2050
Under the UN medium scenario, Wallis and Futuna Islands’s population is projected to decline by about 9%, reaching 10,148 in 2050. The median age changes from 38.6 to 43.0 years.
The 65+ share is projected to rise by 11.0 percentage points to 26.8%. At the same time, the under-15 share is projected at 15.2%. How UN projections work explains the assumptions behind these figures.
The annual UN series reaches its highest estimated population of 15,053 in 2003. Historical population totals are estimates rather than exact head counts. Compare timing across countries in the population peak ranking.
Population trend: 1950–2100
Mid-year population for every year. Estimates through 2023; dashed line shows the UN medium projection.
| Year | Population | Median age | Fertility | Life exp. | Births | Deaths | Net migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 8,536 | 14.4 | 6.95 | 44.1 | 380 | 151 | −34 | +2.0% |
| 1960 | 8,624 | 13.7 | 7.00 | 47.3 | 270 | 148 | −418 | -3.5% |
| 1970 | 8,832 | 15.8 | 7.32 | 52.3 | 424 | 123 | −129 | +2.0% |
| 1980 | 11,116 | 16.1 | 5.97 | 59.3 | 392 | 111 | +213 | +4.5% |
| 1990 | 13,480 | 18.5 | 4.58 | 69.9 | 421 | 78 | −196 | +1.1% |
| 2000 | 14,784 | 21.5 | 2.45 | 75.4 | 271 | 69 | −72 | +0.8% |
| 2010 | 13,164 | 28.8 | 1.87 | 76.8 | 172 | 74 | −343 | -1.9% |
| 2020 | 11,616 | 35.6 | 1.57 | 78.2 | 111 | 83 | −71 | -0.3% |
| 2023 | 11,370 | 37.2 | 1.41 | 78.6 | 98 | 88 | −107 | -0.9% |
| 2024* | 11,278 | 37.7 | 1.41 | 78.7 | 97 | 91 | −93 | -0.8% |
| 2026* | 11,113 | 38.6 | 1.39 | 79.0 | 95 | 94 | −80 | -0.7% |
| 2030* | 10,859 | 39.9 | 1.40 | 79.5 | 97 | 102 | −37 | -0.3% |
| 2040* | 10,550 | 39.7 | 1.43 | 81.0 | 114 | 117 | −25 | -0.4% |
| 2050* | 10,148 | 43.0 | 1.45 | 82.3 | 89 | 128 | −19 | -0.6% |
| 2060* | 9,424 | 47.9 | 1.47 | 83.6 | 61 | 131 | −7 | -0.7% |
| 2070* | 8,727 | 52.2 | 1.49 | 84.7 | 69 | 122 | −8 | -0.8% |
| 2080* | 8,201 | 52.2 | 1.50 | 85.8 | 63 | 110 | −1 | -0.5% |
| 2090* | 7,633 | 52.7 | 1.51 | 86.8 | 48 | 115 | 0 | -0.9% |
| 2100* | 6,878 | 54.6 | 1.53 | 87.7 | 47 | 125 | −1 | -1.1% |
* 2024 onward is the UN medium projection. Fertility is births per woman; life expectancy is years at birth; births, deaths, and net migration are counts for that calendar year.
Download every year, 1950–2100 (CSV)
2026 population by age and sex
The table provides the counts behind the chart. Age groups are five-year bands, with everyone aged 100 or older combined.
| Age group | Male | Female | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 235 | 222 | 457 | 4.1% |
| 5–9 | 347 | 326 | 673 | 6.1% |
| 10–14 | 466 | 441 | 907 | 8.2% |
| 15–19 | 521 | 491 | 1,012 | 9.1% |
| 20–24 | 460 | 467 | 927 | 8.3% |
| 25–29 | 255 | 280 | 535 | 4.8% |
| 30–34 | 226 | 292 | 518 | 4.7% |
| 35–39 | 229 | 348 | 577 | 5.2% |
| 40–44 | 276 | 346 | 622 | 5.6% |
| 45–49 | 344 | 443 | 787 | 7.1% |
| 50–54 | 419 | 473 | 892 | 8.0% |
| 55–59 | 370 | 425 | 795 | 7.1% |
| 60–64 | 307 | 355 | 662 | 6.0% |
| 65–69 | 265 | 320 | 585 | 5.3% |
| 70–74 | 226 | 218 | 444 | 4.0% |
| 75–79 | 164 | 178 | 342 | 3.1% |
| 80–84 | 106 | 107 | 213 | 1.9% |
| 85–89 | 52 | 71 | 123 | 1.1% |
| 90–94 | 13 | 30 | 43 | 0.4% |
| 95–99 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.1% |
| 100+ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% |
Countries with the most similar age structure
These profiles have the 2026 age distributions closest to Wallis and Futuna Islands’s, measured by the total difference in the share of the population in each five-year band. Similar shapes can arise from very different histories, so the match is a starting point for comparison, not an explanation.
- Réunion93% overlap · median age 38.4
- Cook Islands93% overlap · median age 38.1
- Northern Mariana Islands93% overlap · median age 38.8
- Saint Barthélemy93% overlap · median age 39.1
- Niue92% overlap · median age 35.1
- Ireland92% overlap · median age 39.2
To calculate school-age, working-age, or older groups with other boundaries, use the age-group calculator for Wallis and Futuna Islands.
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APA
World Population Pyramid. (2026, October 19). Wallis and Futuna Islands Population Pyramid 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/wallis-and-futuna-islands/
MLA
“Wallis and Futuna Islands Population Pyramid 2026.” World Population Pyramid, 19 Oct. 2026, worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/wallis-and-futuna-islands/.
Chicago
World Population Pyramid. “Wallis and Futuna Islands Population Pyramid 2026.” Last modified October 19, 2026. https://worldpopulationpyramid.com/countries/wallis-and-futuna-islands/.
Underlying data: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024.
Frequently asked questions
What is the population of Wallis and Futuna Islands in 2026?
Under the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario, Wallis and Futuna Islands's population in 2026 is projected at 11,113.
What is the median age in Wallis and Futuna Islands?
The projected median age in Wallis and Futuna Islands in 2026 is 38.6 years: half the population is younger and half is older.
What is the fertility rate in Wallis and Futuna Islands?
The projected total fertility rate in 2026 is 1.39 births per woman, below the replacement level of about 2.1 in low-mortality populations.
Is Wallis and Futuna Islands's population projected to grow?
Between 2026 and 2050, the UN medium scenario indicates the population will decline by about 9%, from 11.1K to 10.1K.
What share of Wallis and Futuna Islands is aged 65 or older?
In 2026, 15.8% of the projected population is aged 65 or older. By 2050, the medium scenario places the share at 26.8%.
How many babies are born in Wallis and Futuna Islands each year?
The UN medium scenario projects 95 births and 94 deaths in 2026, about 95 births a year. Births exceed deaths by 1.
What is life expectancy in Wallis and Futuna Islands for men and women?
Life expectancy at birth in 2026 is projected at 80.0 years for women and 78.1 years for men, a gap of 1.9 years in favour of women.
Does Wallis and Futuna Islands have more immigrants or emigrants?
Wallis and Futuna Islands is projected to lose about 80 more people through emigration than it gains in 2026. Between 2000 and 2023 the UN estimates cumulative net migration of −5,973.
What is the sex ratio in Wallis and Futuna Islands?
The projected 2026 population sex ratio is 90.5 males per 100 females. This all-age ratio is different from the sex ratio at birth and can vary substantially by age.
Sources and notes
- United Nations, DESA, Population Division: World Population Prospects 2024, medium scenario.
- Population values are mid-year figures. Source values published in thousands are converted to people; displayed figures may imply more precision than is appropriate for planning.
- Historical values through 2023 are estimates. Values from 2024 onward are projections.
- Calculations follow the site methodology.