2026 country ranking

Largest Population Increases by 2050

This ranking answers a different question from growth rate: where is the largest number of additional people projected to live by 2050?

Countries and areas
163
Highest-ranked
India
+202,963,683
Rank 10
Indonesia
+32,826,167
Top-20 concentration
Africa
12 of the first 20
Estimate or projection?

The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.

Complete largest population increases by 2050 ranking

Select any country to inspect its full age-by-sex structure and projections.

Largest Population Increases by 2050
RankCountry or areaRegionAdded by 20502050 population
1IndiaAsia+202,963,6831,679,589,259
2NigeriaAfrica+116,753,724359,185,556
3PakistanAsia+112,564,001371,863,793
4Democratic Republic of the CongoAfrica+101,793,910218,246,072
5EthiopiaAfrica+86,119,689225,021,874
6TanzaniaAfrica+57,057,322129,621,102
7EgyptAfrica+41,529,017161,630,192
8BangladeshAsia+36,891,053214,709,097
9AngolaAfrica+34,080,21474,295,394
10IndonesiaAsia+32,826,167320,712,949
11UgandaAfrica+32,669,73285,431,202
12SudanAfrica+31,923,66485,206,383
13AfghanistanAsia+31,838,06676,885,134
14United StatesNorthern America+31,811,416380,846,910
15YemenAsia+28,014,75070,976,403
16MozambiqueAfrica+26,891,10263,530,952
17KenyaAfrica+24,956,82783,593,239
18IraqAsia+23,921,31371,928,750
19NigerAfrica+23,698,99852,513,876
20Ivory CoastAfrica+22,252,63955,746,985
21CameroonAfrica+20,455,50051,096,317
22MaliAfrica+20,221,80446,154,079
23MadagascarAfrica+19,663,42353,185,475
24ChadAfrica+17,297,30638,857,686
25SomaliaAfrica+16,900,60537,206,512
26PhilippinesAsia+16,648,967134,373,439
27MexicoNorthern America+15,948,616148,946,274
28ZambiaAfrica+15,561,47038,083,385
29GhanaAfrica+14,855,49050,553,047
30MalawiAfrica+14,576,14837,361,683
31UzbekistanAsia+14,486,53252,210,755
32South AfricaAfrica+13,724,24479,177,328
33Burkina FasoAfrica+12,702,68337,304,383
34Saudi ArabiaAsia+12,528,12347,693,910
35AlgeriaAfrica+11,537,22059,565,554
36SyriaAsia+11,320,87537,793,372
37SenegalAfrica+10,998,40630,364,954
38BurundiAfrica+9,402,56324,131,720
39BeninAfrica+9,263,38924,433,809
40IranAsia+8,693,496101,861,993
41ZimbabweAfrica+8,592,80525,866,385
42GuineaAfrica+7,962,59223,404,584
43MalaysiaAsia+7,904,65744,289,772
44VietnamAsia+7,831,477110,008,908
45RwandaAfrica+7,818,21722,707,910
46South SudanAfrica+5,905,93718,341,974
47GuatemalaLatin America and the Caribbean+5,702,87924,670,857
48PeruLatin America and the Caribbean+5,661,72840,583,876
49TogoAfrica+5,653,86015,584,778
50United KingdomEurope+5,573,15375,504,681
51KazakhstanAsia+5,460,63926,544,265
52ColombiaLatin America and the Caribbean+5,449,13059,385,356
53AustraliaOceania+5,279,87332,506,969
54CanadaNorthern America+5,154,15445,621,882
55NepalAsia+5,012,61734,642,027
56Central African RepublicAfrica+4,917,76810,616,752
57JordanAsia+4,777,82216,367,354
58MoroccoAfrica+4,677,99043,440,431
59TajikistanAsia+4,596,04415,574,642
60Republic of the CongoAfrica+4,368,68611,006,472
61Papua New GuineaOceania+3,958,74214,906,590
62MauritaniaAfrica+3,954,2799,415,598
63Sierra LeoneAfrica+3,951,58112,948,325
64BrazilLatin America and the Caribbean+3,926,634217,489,300
65CambodiaAsia+3,880,23621,931,455
66United Arab EmiratesAsia+3,792,71015,367,392
67HondurasLatin America and the Caribbean+3,662,01814,846,778
68IsraelAsia+3,445,03313,092,722
69MyanmarAsia+3,438,41358,623,232
70BoliviaLatin America and the Caribbean+3,360,87116,110,162
71TurkeyAsia+3,331,97991,258,061
72LiberiaAfrica+3,056,5818,910,530
73EcuadorLatin America and the Caribbean+2,892,73121,337,237
74State of PalestineAsia+2,759,1018,451,891
75HaitiLatin America and the Caribbean+2,673,35614,710,862
76VenezuelaLatin America and the Caribbean+2,461,17231,094,883
77ArgentinaLatin America and the Caribbean+2,305,21048,308,944
78KyrgyzstanAsia+2,242,4889,642,952
79OmanAsia+2,155,5447,827,002
80EritreaAfrica+2,013,3935,696,062
81TurkmenistanAsia+1,903,0769,639,708
82LaosAsia+1,783,2689,757,286
83LibyaAfrica+1,720,7549,260,606
84NicaraguaLatin America and the Caribbean+1,659,1018,756,430
85ParaguayLatin America and the Caribbean+1,545,1858,640,464
86FranceEurope+1,473,27468,219,675
87Sri LankaAsia+1,465,37524,813,690
88GabonAfrica+1,437,1334,084,533
89GambiaAfrica+1,417,8164,301,895
90Dominican RepublicLatin America and the Caribbean+1,386,79312,996,293
91NamibiaAfrica+1,359,0544,512,300
92KuwaitAsia+1,264,9836,367,756
93Equatorial GuineaAfrica+1,159,2603,143,728
94Guinea-BissauAfrica+1,140,8003,438,608
95LebanonAsia+1,101,7936,999,260
96PanamaLatin America and the Caribbean+1,004,9625,630,680
97QatarAsia+990,9014,164,460
98MongoliaAsia+944,6954,501,493
99BotswanaAfrica+834,0423,437,430
100AzerbaijanAsia+770,06811,224,923
101TunisiaAfrica+730,00313,145,141
102IrelandEurope+613,0925,970,042
103SwedenEurope+608,58411,309,630
104LesothoAfrica+603,7402,993,076
105NetherlandsEurope+509,70018,958,475
106New ZealandOceania+467,8095,755,288
107BahrainAsia+463,8922,139,464
108Timor-LesteAsia+452,3261,889,249
109Solomon IslandsOceania+450,8221,309,110
110ComorosAfrica+408,5481,307,558
111ChileLatin America and the Caribbean+374,45620,320,306
112SwitzerlandEurope+334,7889,342,586
113DjiboutiAfrica+331,0811,530,540
114MayotteAfrica+297,890645,426
115El SalvadorLatin America and the Caribbean+272,0926,663,346
116NorwayEurope+246,8405,899,829
117EswatiniAfrica+235,4721,505,331
118VanuatuOceania+191,824534,388
119Costa RicaLatin America and the Caribbean+179,3615,354,150
120SingaporeAsia+175,9446,081,692
121Western SaharaAfrica+166,503777,316
122French GuianaLatin America and the Caribbean+153,044471,916
123CyprusEurope+126,1481,508,482
124Sao Tome and PrincipeAfrica+120,121365,115
125LuxembourgEurope+104,016791,464
126DenmarkEurope+101,3186,124,838
127GuyanaLatin America and the Caribbean+99,718940,608
128BelgiumEurope+96,26411,870,906
129SurinameLatin America and the Caribbean+88,648733,904
130BelizeLatin America and the Caribbean+87,983516,627
131BhutanAsia+80,126882,340
132FijiOceania+62,9791,000,261
133MaldivesAsia+58,445589,962
134RéunionAfrica+55,115941,413
135SamoaOceania+52,198272,726
136BruneiAsia+49,776519,551
137KiribatiOceania+44,176182,621
138New CaledoniaOceania+42,688340,580
139Cabo VerdeAfrica+36,504566,134
140IcelandEurope+30,664432,993
141Cayman IslandsLatin America and the Caribbean+26,762103,958
142GuamOceania+21,273191,458
143BahamasLatin America and the Caribbean+19,637424,265
144MicronesiaOceania+12,226126,408
145GibraltarEurope+8,93149,798
146SeychellesAfrica+6,787141,746
147Sint Maarten (Dutch part)Latin America and the Caribbean+6,56951,016
148Faroe IslandsEurope+6,51063,036
149Turks and Caicos IslandsLatin America and the Caribbean+3,84050,988
150NauruOceania+3,65715,758
151Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and SabaLatin America and the Caribbean+2,82934,742
152LiechtensteinEurope+2,64543,013
153TongaOceania+1,904105,195
154French PolynesiaOceania+1,674284,750
155Saint BarthélemyLatin America and the Caribbean+1,23912,789
156TokelauOceania+1,1303,821
157JerseyEurope+660104,766
158Antigua and BarbudaLatin America and the Caribbean+42995,055
159TuvaluOceania+4189,780
160British Virgin IslandsLatin America and the Caribbean+40440,340
161Vatican CityEurope+208714
162NiueOceania+1441,966
163San MarinoEurope+9133,696

Interpretation

What this ranking measures—and what it does not

Definition

Absolute change subtracts the 2026 projected population from the 2050 medium-scenario population. It gives people added, not a percentage rate.

Why it matters

Absolute growth is especially relevant to the scale of infrastructure, food, housing, education, and health-system expansion. Large countries can lead even with a lower percentage growth rate.

Read with care

The calculation compares two points in one scenario. It does not show when growth occurs, uncertainty bounds, or whether growth continues after 2050.

What stands out in the 2026 data

India leads with +202,963,683, while Indonesia is tenth at +32,826,167. Among the top 20 entries, Africa appears most often, with 12 countries or areas.

Those positions describe this particular indicator and year. They do not imply that every country near the top has the same population pyramid or demographic path. Open the profiles below to compare the underlying cohorts.

  1. India — rank 1, +202,963,683; 2050 population 1,679,589,259.
  2. Nigeria — rank 2, +116,753,724; 2050 population 359,185,556.
  3. Pakistan — rank 3, +112,564,001; 2050 population 371,863,793.
  4. Democratic Republic of the Congo — rank 4, +101,793,910; 2050 population 218,246,072.
  5. Ethiopia — rank 5, +86,119,689; 2050 population 225,021,874.

Questions about this ranking

Which country ranks first for added by 2050?

India ranks first in this comparison with +202,963,683. The ranking uses the UN WPP 2024 medium scenario for 2026.

Is 2026 observed population data?

No. In World Population Prospects 2024, historical estimates run through 2023 and values from 2024 onward are projections.

Why might another source show a different rank?

Sources can use different reference dates, revisions, country definitions, estimation methods, or projection scenarios. Close ranks can also change after revisions.