Largest Population Increases by 2050

2026 medium projection

This ranking answers a different question from growth rate: where is the largest number of additional people projected to live by 2050?

Countries and areas: 163
Highest-ranked: India+202,963,683
Rank 10: Indonesia+32,826,167
End of table: San Marino+91

Estimate or projection?

The UN series provides historical estimates through 2023. Figures from 2024 onward—including 2026—are medium-scenario projections, not counts or predictions guaranteed to occur.

Complete largest population increases by 2050 ranking

Select any country to inspect its full age-by-sex structure and projections.

Download CSV

Largest Population Increases by 2050
Rank	Country or area	Region	Added by 2050	2050 population
1	India	Asia	+202,963,683	1,679,589,259
2	Nigeria	Africa	+116,753,724	359,185,556
3	Pakistan	Asia	+112,564,001	371,863,793
4	Democratic Republic of the Congo	Africa	+101,793,910	218,246,072
5	Ethiopia	Africa	+86,119,689	225,021,874
6	Tanzania	Africa	+57,057,322	129,621,102
7	Egypt	Africa	+41,529,017	161,630,192
8	Bangladesh	Asia	+36,891,053	214,709,097
9	Angola	Africa	+34,080,214	74,295,394
10	Indonesia	Asia	+32,826,167	320,712,949
11	Uganda	Africa	+32,669,732	85,431,202
12	Sudan	Africa	+31,923,664	85,206,383
13	Afghanistan	Asia	+31,838,066	76,885,134
14	United States	Northern America	+31,811,416	380,846,910
15	Yemen	Asia	+28,014,750	70,976,403
16	Mozambique	Africa	+26,891,102	63,530,952
17	Kenya	Africa	+24,956,827	83,593,239
18	Iraq	Asia	+23,921,313	71,928,750
19	Niger	Africa	+23,698,998	52,513,876
20	Ivory Coast	Africa	+22,252,639	55,746,985
21	Cameroon	Africa	+20,455,500	51,096,317
22	Mali	Africa	+20,221,804	46,154,079
23	Madagascar	Africa	+19,663,423	53,185,475
24	Chad	Africa	+17,297,306	38,857,686
25	Somalia	Africa	+16,900,605	37,206,512
26	Philippines	Asia	+16,648,967	134,373,439
27	Mexico	Latin America and the Caribbean	+15,948,616	148,946,274
28	Zambia	Africa	+15,561,470	38,083,385
29	Ghana	Africa	+14,855,490	50,553,047
30	Malawi	Africa	+14,576,148	37,361,683
31	Uzbekistan	Asia	+14,486,532	52,210,755
32	South Africa	Africa	+13,724,244	79,177,328
33	Burkina Faso	Africa	+12,702,683	37,304,383
34	Saudi Arabia	Asia	+12,528,123	47,693,910
35	Algeria	Africa	+11,537,220	59,565,554
36	Syria	Asia	+11,320,875	37,793,372
37	Senegal	Africa	+10,998,406	30,364,954
38	Burundi	Africa	+9,402,563	24,131,720
39	Benin	Africa	+9,263,389	24,433,809
40	Iran	Asia	+8,693,496	101,861,993
41	Zimbabwe	Africa	+8,592,805	25,866,385
42	Guinea	Africa	+7,962,592	23,404,584
43	Malaysia	Asia	+7,904,657	44,289,772
44	Vietnam	Asia	+7,831,477	110,008,908
45	Rwanda	Africa	+7,818,217	22,707,910
46	South Sudan	Africa	+5,905,937	18,341,974
47	Guatemala	Latin America and the Caribbean	+5,702,879	24,670,857
48	Peru	Latin America and the Caribbean	+5,661,728	40,583,876
49	Togo	Africa	+5,653,860	15,584,778
50	United Kingdom	Europe	+5,573,153	75,504,681
51	Kazakhstan	Asia	+5,460,639	26,544,265
52	Colombia	Latin America and the Caribbean	+5,449,130	59,385,356
53	Australia	Oceania	+5,279,873	32,506,969
54	Canada	Northern America	+5,154,154	45,621,882
55	Nepal	Asia	+5,012,617	34,642,027
56	Central African Republic	Africa	+4,917,768	10,616,752
57	Jordan	Asia	+4,777,822	16,367,354
58	Morocco	Africa	+4,677,990	43,440,431
59	Tajikistan	Asia	+4,596,044	15,574,642
60	Republic of the Congo	Africa	+4,368,686	11,006,472
61	Papua New Guinea	Oceania	+3,958,742	14,906,590
62	Mauritania	Africa	+3,954,279	9,415,598
63	Sierra Leone	Africa	+3,951,581	12,948,325
64	Brazil	Latin America and the Caribbean	+3,926,634	217,489,300
65	Cambodia	Asia	+3,880,236	21,931,455
66	United Arab Emirates	Asia	+3,792,710	15,367,392
67	Honduras	Latin America and the Caribbean	+3,662,018	14,846,778
68	Israel	Asia	+3,445,033	13,092,722
69	Myanmar	Asia	+3,438,413	58,623,232
70	Bolivia	Latin America and the Caribbean	+3,360,871	16,110,162
71	Turkey	Asia	+3,331,979	91,258,061
72	Liberia	Africa	+3,056,581	8,910,530
73	Ecuador	Latin America and the Caribbean	+2,892,731	21,337,237
74	State of Palestine	Asia	+2,759,101	8,451,891
75	Haiti	Latin America and the Caribbean	+2,673,356	14,710,862
76	Venezuela	Latin America and the Caribbean	+2,461,172	31,094,883
77	Argentina	Latin America and the Caribbean	+2,305,210	48,308,944
78	Kyrgyzstan	Asia	+2,242,488	9,642,952
79	Oman	Asia	+2,155,544	7,827,002
80	Eritrea	Africa	+2,013,393	5,696,062
81	Turkmenistan	Asia	+1,903,076	9,639,708
82	Laos	Asia	+1,783,268	9,757,286
83	Libya	Africa	+1,720,754	9,260,606
84	Nicaragua	Latin America and the Caribbean	+1,659,101	8,756,430
85	Paraguay	Latin America and the Caribbean	+1,545,185	8,640,464
86	France	Europe	+1,473,274	68,219,675
87	Sri Lanka	Asia	+1,465,375	24,813,690
88	Gabon	Africa	+1,437,133	4,084,533
89	Gambia	Africa	+1,417,816	4,301,895
90	Dominican Republic	Latin America and the Caribbean	+1,386,793	12,996,293
91	Namibia	Africa	+1,359,054	4,512,300
92	Kuwait	Asia	+1,264,983	6,367,756
93	Equatorial Guinea	Africa	+1,159,260	3,143,728
94	Guinea-Bissau	Africa	+1,140,800	3,438,608
95	Lebanon	Asia	+1,101,793	6,999,260
96	Panama	Latin America and the Caribbean	+1,004,962	5,630,680
97	Qatar	Asia	+990,901	4,164,460
98	Mongolia	Asia	+944,695	4,501,493
99	Botswana	Africa	+834,042	3,437,430
100	Azerbaijan	Asia	+770,068	11,224,923
101	Tunisia	Africa	+730,003	13,145,141
102	Ireland	Europe	+613,092	5,970,042
103	Sweden	Europe	+608,584	11,309,630
104	Lesotho	Africa	+603,740	2,993,076
105	Netherlands	Europe	+509,700	18,958,475
106	New Zealand	Oceania	+467,809	5,755,288
107	Bahrain	Asia	+463,892	2,139,464
108	Timor-Leste	Asia	+452,326	1,889,249
109	Solomon Islands	Oceania	+450,822	1,309,110
110	Comoros	Africa	+408,548	1,307,558
111	Chile	Latin America and the Caribbean	+374,456	20,320,306
112	Switzerland	Europe	+334,788	9,342,586
113	Djibouti	Africa	+331,081	1,530,540
114	Mayotte	Africa	+297,890	645,426
115	El Salvador	Latin America and the Caribbean	+272,092	6,663,346
116	Norway	Europe	+246,840	5,899,829
117	Eswatini	Africa	+235,472	1,505,331
118	Vanuatu	Oceania	+191,824	534,388
119	Costa Rica	Latin America and the Caribbean	+179,361	5,354,150
120	Singapore	Asia	+175,944	6,081,692
121	Western Sahara	Africa	+166,503	777,316
122	French Guiana	Latin America and the Caribbean	+153,044	471,916
123	Cyprus	Asia	+126,148	1,508,482
124	Sao Tome and Principe	Africa	+120,121	365,115
125	Luxembourg	Europe	+104,016	791,464
126	Denmark	Europe	+101,318	6,124,838
127	Guyana	Latin America and the Caribbean	+99,718	940,608
128	Belgium	Europe	+96,264	11,870,906
129	Suriname	Latin America and the Caribbean	+88,648	733,904
130	Belize	Latin America and the Caribbean	+87,983	516,627
131	Bhutan	Asia	+80,126	882,340
132	Fiji	Oceania	+62,979	1,000,261
133	Maldives	Asia	+58,445	589,962
134	Réunion	Africa	+55,115	941,413
135	Samoa	Oceania	+52,198	272,726
136	Brunei	Asia	+49,776	519,551
137	Kiribati	Oceania	+44,176	182,621
138	New Caledonia	Oceania	+42,688	340,580
139	Cabo Verde	Africa	+36,504	566,134
140	Iceland	Europe	+30,664	432,993
141	Cayman Islands	Latin America and the Caribbean	+26,762	103,958
142	Guam	Oceania	+21,273	191,458
143	Bahamas	Latin America and the Caribbean	+19,637	424,265
144	Micronesia	Oceania	+12,226	126,408
145	Gibraltar	Europe	+8,931	49,798
146	Seychelles	Africa	+6,787	141,746
147	Sint Maarten (Dutch part)	Latin America and the Caribbean	+6,569	51,016
148	Faroe Islands	Europe	+6,510	63,036
149	Turks and Caicos Islands	Latin America and the Caribbean	+3,840	50,988
150	Nauru	Oceania	+3,657	15,758
151	Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba	Latin America and the Caribbean	+2,829	34,742
152	Liechtenstein	Europe	+2,645	43,013
153	Tonga	Oceania	+1,904	105,195
154	French Polynesia	Oceania	+1,674	284,750
155	Saint Barthélemy	Latin America and the Caribbean	+1,239	12,789
156	Tokelau	Oceania	+1,130	3,821
157	Jersey	Europe	+660	104,766
158	Antigua and Barbuda	Latin America and the Caribbean	+429	95,055
159	Tuvalu	Oceania	+418	9,780
160	British Virgin Islands	Latin America and the Caribbean	+404	40,340
161	Vatican City	Europe	+208	714
162	Niue	Oceania	+144	1,966
163	San Marino	Europe	+91	33,696

What this ranking measures—and what it does not

Definition

Absolute change subtracts the 2026 projected population from the 2050 medium-scenario population. It gives people added, not a percentage rate.

Why it matters

Absolute growth is especially relevant to the scale of infrastructure, food, housing, education, and health-system expansion. Large countries can lead even with a lower percentage growth rate.

Read with care

The calculation compares two points in one scenario. It does not show when growth occurs, uncertainty bounds, or whether growth continues after 2050.

What stands out in this comparison

India leads with +202,963,683, while Indonesia is at rank 10 with +32,826,167. At the other end of the complete table, San Marino has +91.

Those positions describe this particular indicator, definition, and reference period. They do not imply that every country near the top has the same population pyramid or demographic path. Open the profiles to compare the underlying cohorts.

First five

India — rank 1, +202,963,683; 2050 population 1,679,589,259.
Nigeria — rank 2, +116,753,724; 2050 population 359,185,556.
Pakistan — rank 3, +112,564,001; 2050 population 371,863,793.
Democratic Republic of the Congo — rank 4, +101,793,910; 2050 population 218,246,072.
Ethiopia — rank 5, +86,119,689; 2050 population 225,021,874.

Other end of the table

San Marino — rank 163, +91; 2050 population 33,696.
Niue — rank 162, +144; 2050 population 1,966.
Vatican City — rank 161, +208; 2050 population 714.
British Virgin Islands — rank 160, +404; 2050 population 40,340.
Tuvalu — rank 159, +418; 2050 population 9,780.

Questions about this ranking

Which country or area ranks first for added by 2050?

India ranks first in this comparison with +202,963,683. The table uses 2026 medium projection from UN World Population Prospects 2024.

Which values are estimates and which are projections?

In World Population Prospects 2024, historical estimates run through 2023 and values from 2024 onward are projections. The peak-year table labels historical and projected results separately.

Why might another source show a different rank?

Sources can use different reference dates, revisions, country definitions, estimation methods, or projection scenarios. Close ranks can also change after revisions.